Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Paris on April 5 show maximum temperatures clustering at 14–16°C, driving the tight market-implied odds where 16°C (25%), 14°C (24%), and 15°C (19.5%) lead amid genuine short-range uncertainty. This positioning stems from a weak ridge of high pressure promoting mild southerly flow but with variable low-level cloudiness and potential light showers from residual Atlantic moisture, as seen in yesterday's model runs—GFS leaning slightly warmer with better insolation, while ECMWF emphasizes overcast persistence capping highs nearer 14°C. Early April climatology supports averages around 15°C at Charles de Gaulle Airport (market resolution site), but diurnal timing of any clearing could differentiate outcomes. Watch daily updates from Météo-France for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日のパリの最高気温は？
4月5日のパリの最高気温は？
16°C 25%
14℃ 24%
15°C 23%
17°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
10°C以下
<1%
11℃
2%
12℃
5%
13℃
12%
14℃
24%
15°C
23%
16°C
25%
17°C
15%
18℃
8%
19℃
3%
20℃以上
2%
16°C 25%
14℃ 24%
15°C 23%
17°C 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
10°C以下
$428 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$235 Vol.
2%
12℃
$155 Vol.
5%
13℃
$266 Vol.
12%
14℃
$167 Vol.
24%
15°C
$132 Vol.
23%
16°C
$539 Vol.
25%
17°C
$97 Vol.
15%
18℃
$154 Vol.
8%
19℃
$134 Vol.
3%
20℃以上
$101 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Paris on April 5 show maximum temperatures clustering at 14–16°C, driving the tight market-implied odds where 16°C (25%), 14°C (24%), and 15°C (19.5%) lead amid genuine short-range uncertainty. This positioning stems from a weak ridge of high pressure promoting mild southerly flow but with variable low-level cloudiness and potential light showers from residual Atlantic moisture, as seen in yesterday's model runs—GFS leaning slightly warmer with better insolation, while ECMWF emphasizes overcast persistence capping highs nearer 14°C. Early April climatology supports averages around 15°C at Charles de Gaulle Airport (market resolution site), but diurnal timing of any clearing could differentiate outcomes. Watch daily updates from Météo-France for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
音量
$2,408終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Paris on April 5 show maximum temperatures clustering at 14–16°C, driving the tight market-implied odds where 16°C (25%), 14°C (24%), and 15°C (19.5%) lead amid genuine short-range uncertainty. This positioning stems from a weak ridge of high pressure promoting mild southerly flow but with variable low-level cloudiness and potential light showers from residual Atlantic moisture, as seen in yesterday's model runs—GFS leaning slightly warmer with better insolation, while ECMWF emphasizes overcast persistence capping highs nearer 14°C. Early April climatology supports averages around 15°C at Charles de Gaulle Airport (market resolution site), but diurnal timing of any clearing could differentiate outcomes. Watch daily updates from Météo-France for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,408終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETLatest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for Paris on April 5 show maximum temperatures clustering at 14–16°C, driving the tight market-implied odds where 16°C (25%), 14°C (24%), and 15°C (19.5%) lead amid genuine short-range uncertainty. This positioning stems from a weak ridge of high pressure promoting mild southerly flow but with variable low-level cloudiness and potential light showers from residual Atlantic moisture, as seen in yesterday's model runs—GFS leaning slightly warmer with better insolation, while ECMWF emphasizes overcast persistence capping highs nearer 14°C. Early April climatology supports averages around 15°C at Charles de Gaulle Airport (market resolution site), but diurnal timing of any clearing could differentiate outcomes. Watch daily updates from Météo-France for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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