Latest multi-model ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in aggregators like The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, project Tel Aviv's April 2 high around 72°F (22°C) amid high rain probabilities (70-76%) and cloudy skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 25-27°C (24-25% each), highlighting uncertainty in precipitation realization and cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential southerly flows warming boundary layer temperatures if showers weaken, versus persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and stratiform rain suppressing peaks below 24°C; historical early-April averages hover near 23°C with 2-3°C model spreads common at this range. Israel Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z/12Z runs expected daily could sharpen resolution before the event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 2?
25°C 26%
26°C 24%
27°C 24%
24°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
20°C or below
11%
21°C
14%
22°C
16%
23°C
17%
24°C
22%
25°C
26%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
14%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
20%
25°C 26%
26°C 24%
27°C 24%
24°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
20°C or below
$1 Vol.
11%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
17%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$1 Vol.
24%
27°C
$5 Vol.
24%
28°C
$9 Vol.
14%
29°C
$13 Vol.
15%
30°C or higher
$0 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest multi-model ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in aggregators like The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, project Tel Aviv's April 2 high around 72°F (22°C) amid high rain probabilities (70-76%) and cloudy skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 25-27°C (24-25% each), highlighting uncertainty in precipitation realization and cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential southerly flows warming boundary layer temperatures if showers weaken, versus persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and stratiform rain suppressing peaks below 24°C; historical early-April averages hover near 23°C with 2-3°C model spreads common at this range. Israel Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z/12Z runs expected daily could sharpen resolution before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
音量
$30終了日
Apr 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest multi-model ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in aggregators like The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, project Tel Aviv's April 2 high around 72°F (22°C) amid high rain probabilities (70-76%) and cloudy skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 25-27°C (24-25% each), highlighting uncertainty in precipitation realization and cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential southerly flows warming boundary layer temperatures if showers weaken, versus persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and stratiform rain suppressing peaks below 24°C; historical early-April averages hover near 23°C with 2-3°C model spreads common at this range. Israel Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z/12Z runs expected daily could sharpen resolution before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$30終了日
Apr 2, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest multi-model ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, as reflected in aggregators like The Weather Channel and Weather Underground, project Tel Aviv's April 2 high around 72°F (22°C) amid high rain probabilities (70-76%) and cloudy skies, yet trader consensus clusters tightly at 25-27°C (24-25% each), highlighting uncertainty in precipitation realization and cloud cover. Differentiating factors include potential southerly flows warming boundary layer temperatures if showers weaken, versus persistent Mediterranean sea breezes and stratiform rain suppressing peaks below 24°C; historical early-April averages hover near 23°C with 2-3°C model spreads common at this range. Israel Meteorological Service updates and new 00Z/12Z runs expected daily could sharpen resolution before the event.
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