Trader consensus favors 26°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1 at 28.5% market-implied odds, closely trailed by 27°C (19.0%) and 25°C (17.5%), reflecting short-range forecast model spreads from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting 24-27°C amid mild Mediterranean spring conditions. Recent runs show a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge potentially enhancing insolation and southerly winds for warmer outcomes, counterbalanced by persistent sea breezes from the Mediterranean and scattered shower risks capping peaks near 25°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 23°C with low variability, but 2-3°C model divergences—tied to cloud cover and exact steering patterns—fuel the tight race. Fresh IMS updates and twice-daily global model refreshes through March 31 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?
26°C 33%
25°C 17%
27°C 17%
24°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
21°C or below
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
12%
24°C
16%
25°C
17%
26°C
33%
27°C
17%
28°C
14%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
26°C 33%
25°C 17%
27°C 17%
24°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
21°C or below
$27 Vol.
8%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$53 Vol.
16%
25°C
$41 Vol.
17%
26°C
$71 Vol.
33%
27°C
$67 Vol.
17%
28°C
$6 Vol.
14%
29°C
$12 Vol.
9%
30°C
$19 Vol.
3%
31°C or higher
$39 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 26°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1 at 28.5% market-implied odds, closely trailed by 27°C (19.0%) and 25°C (17.5%), reflecting short-range forecast model spreads from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting 24-27°C amid mild Mediterranean spring conditions. Recent runs show a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge potentially enhancing insolation and southerly winds for warmer outcomes, counterbalanced by persistent sea breezes from the Mediterranean and scattered shower risks capping peaks near 25°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 23°C with low variability, but 2-3°C model divergences—tied to cloud cover and exact steering patterns—fuel the tight race. Fresh IMS updates and twice-daily global model refreshes through March 31 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
音量
$323終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 26°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1 at 28.5% market-implied odds, closely trailed by 27°C (19.0%) and 25°C (17.5%), reflecting short-range forecast model spreads from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting 24-27°C amid mild Mediterranean spring conditions. Recent runs show a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge potentially enhancing insolation and southerly winds for warmer outcomes, counterbalanced by persistent sea breezes from the Mediterranean and scattered shower risks capping peaks near 25°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 23°C with low variability, but 2-3°C model divergences—tied to cloud cover and exact steering patterns—fuel the tight race. Fresh IMS updates and twice-daily global model refreshes through March 31 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$323終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 26°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1 at 28.5% market-implied odds, closely trailed by 27°C (19.0%) and 25°C (17.5%), reflecting short-range forecast model spreads from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting 24-27°C amid mild Mediterranean spring conditions. Recent runs show a strengthening subtropical high-pressure ridge potentially enhancing insolation and southerly winds for warmer outcomes, counterbalanced by persistent sea breezes from the Mediterranean and scattered shower risks capping peaks near 25°C. Historical early-April averages hover at 23°C with low variability, but 2-3°C model divergences—tied to cloud cover and exact steering patterns—fuel the tight race. Fresh IMS updates and twice-daily global model refreshes through March 31 will sharpen resolution criteria based on official station measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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