Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3 clustering around 21–25°C, driving the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities of 23–25% for 21–23°C outcomes and 22% for 25°C or higher, reflecting medium-range uncertainty five days out. Current Israel Meteorological Service observations show a cool, cloudy regime with March 29 highs near 15°C and isolated coastal rain from westerly flows, but models project a transition to high-pressure ridging under neutral ENSO conditions, aligning with climatological early-April averages of 22–24°C modulated by Mediterranean sea breezes and potential upper-level troughs. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus solar heating and sea surface temperature influences; watch daily IMS advisories and model ensemble updates for shifts ahead of resolution using official station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 3?
23°C 25%
21°C 24%
22°C 23%
25°C or higher 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
10%
19°C
10%
20°C
16%
21°C
24%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
19%
25°C or higher
22%
23°C 25%
21°C 24%
22°C 23%
25°C or higher 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
15°C or below
$238 Vol.
1%
16°C
$222 Vol.
1%
17°C
$42 Vol.
5%
18°C
$0 Vol.
10%
19°C
$0 Vol.
10%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$0 Vol.
24%
22°C
$0 Vol.
23%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3 clustering around 21–25°C, driving the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities of 23–25% for 21–23°C outcomes and 22% for 25°C or higher, reflecting medium-range uncertainty five days out. Current Israel Meteorological Service observations show a cool, cloudy regime with March 29 highs near 15°C and isolated coastal rain from westerly flows, but models project a transition to high-pressure ridging under neutral ENSO conditions, aligning with climatological early-April averages of 22–24°C modulated by Mediterranean sea breezes and potential upper-level troughs. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus solar heating and sea surface temperature influences; watch daily IMS advisories and model ensemble updates for shifts ahead of resolution using official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ET
音量
$501終了日
Apr 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3 clustering around 21–25°C, driving the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities of 23–25% for 21–23°C outcomes and 22% for 25°C or higher, reflecting medium-range uncertainty five days out. Current Israel Meteorological Service observations show a cool, cloudy regime with March 29 highs near 15°C and isolated coastal rain from westerly flows, but models project a transition to high-pressure ridging under neutral ENSO conditions, aligning with climatological early-April averages of 22–24°C modulated by Mediterranean sea breezes and potential upper-level troughs. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus solar heating and sea surface temperature influences; watch daily IMS advisories and model ensemble updates for shifts ahead of resolution using official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$501終了日
Apr 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 3 clustering around 21–25°C, driving the tight trader consensus with implied probabilities of 23–25% for 21–23°C outcomes and 22% for 25°C or higher, reflecting medium-range uncertainty five days out. Current Israel Meteorological Service observations show a cool, cloudy regime with March 29 highs near 15°C and isolated coastal rain from westerly flows, but models project a transition to high-pressure ridging under neutral ENSO conditions, aligning with climatological early-April averages of 22–24°C modulated by Mediterranean sea breezes and potential upper-level troughs. Key differentiators include cloud cover persistence versus solar heating and sea surface temperature influences; watch daily IMS advisories and model ensemble updates for shifts ahead of resolution using official station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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