Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models for Denver's highest temperature on April 6, with member runs diverging post an intense low-pressure system forecast for April 3-4 that could leave lingering clouds or clear skies. The 64-65°F lead (26.5% implied probability) edges out cooler 59°F or below (24%) and 66-67°F (24%) outcomes due to recent NWS guidance showing Thursday highs near 73°F amid a pattern shift from March's record warmth (average high 67.6°F), but moisture risks tempering rebound. Key differentiators include potential downslope winds boosting temps versus persistent cloud cover; watch daily 00Z/12Z model updates and NWS bulletins for refinement before resolution at Denver International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 6?
64-65°F 21%
66-67°F 19%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 12%
59°F or below
9%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
10%
78°F or higher
3%
64-65°F 21%
66-67°F 19%
70-71°F 14%
68-69°F 12%
59°F or below
9%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
13%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
10%
78°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 2, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models for Denver's highest temperature on April 6, with member runs diverging post an intense low-pressure system forecast for April 3-4 that could leave lingering clouds or clear skies. The 64-65°F lead (26.5% implied probability) edges out cooler 59°F or below (24%) and 66-67°F (24%) outcomes due to recent NWS guidance showing Thursday highs near 73°F amid a pattern shift from March's record warmth (average high 67.6°F), but moisture risks tempering rebound. Key differentiators include potential downslope winds boosting temps versus persistent cloud cover; watch daily 00Z/12Z model updates and NWS bulletins for refinement before resolution at Denver International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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