Latest National Weather Service Boulder forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF indicate a transition from late March's record-shattering heat— including Denver's earliest 90°F on March 21 and multiple 80°F days—to cooler, showery conditions early April, with projected highs clustering near the climatological normal of 60°F. This pattern shift, driven by an incoming cold front and Pacific moisture, positions 62°F or higher as the trader-favored outcome at 38.5% implied probability due to potential ridge persistence, while 54-61°F bins at 23-25% reflect uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover impacts. NOAA's 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks show equal chances for temperature anomalies, underscoring spring Front Range volatility; watch today's 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 4?
62°F or higher 36%
60-61°F 24%
58-59°F 24%
54-55°F 23%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
43°F or below
6%
44-45°F
18%
46-47°F
18%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
18%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
24%
62°F or higher
36%
62°F or higher 36%
60-61°F 24%
58-59°F 24%
54-55°F 23%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
43°F or below
$47 Vol.
6%
44-45°F
$0 Vol.
18%
46-47°F
$0 Vol.
18%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
18%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
18%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
18%
54-55°F
$2 Vol.
23%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
22%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
24%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
24%
62°F or higher
$0 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service Boulder forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF indicate a transition from late March's record-shattering heat— including Denver's earliest 90°F on March 21 and multiple 80°F days—to cooler, showery conditions early April, with projected highs clustering near the climatological normal of 60°F. This pattern shift, driven by an incoming cold front and Pacific moisture, positions 62°F or higher as the trader-favored outcome at 38.5% implied probability due to potential ridge persistence, while 54-61°F bins at 23-25% reflect uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover impacts. NOAA's 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks show equal chances for temperature anomalies, underscoring spring Front Range volatility; watch today's 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
音量
$48終了日
Apr 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service Boulder forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF indicate a transition from late March's record-shattering heat— including Denver's earliest 90°F on March 21 and multiple 80°F days—to cooler, showery conditions early April, with projected highs clustering near the climatological normal of 60°F. This pattern shift, driven by an incoming cold front and Pacific moisture, positions 62°F or higher as the trader-favored outcome at 38.5% implied probability due to potential ridge persistence, while 54-61°F bins at 23-25% reflect uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover impacts. NOAA's 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks show equal chances for temperature anomalies, underscoring spring Front Range volatility; watch today's 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$48終了日
Apr 4, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service Boulder forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF indicate a transition from late March's record-shattering heat— including Denver's earliest 90°F on March 21 and multiple 80°F days—to cooler, showery conditions early April, with projected highs clustering near the climatological normal of 60°F. This pattern shift, driven by an incoming cold front and Pacific moisture, positions 62°F or higher as the trader-favored outcome at 38.5% implied probability due to potential ridge persistence, while 54-61°F bins at 23-25% reflect uncertainty in frontal timing and cloud cover impacts. NOAA's 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks show equal chances for temperature anomalies, underscoring spring Front Range volatility; watch today's 12Z model runs and NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問