Latest Météo-France forecasts, corroborated by ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 amid persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover following a sharp late-March cold snap that dropped temperatures 10–15°C across France. This cool, unsettled pattern—marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and overcast skies—has suppressed recent daily maxima to 12–15°C, aligning trader consensus with 38% implied probability for 14°C or below and 19% for 16°C as leading outcomes. Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 14–15°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty from potential clearing or ridging. Watch for daily updates from Météo-France, as 4-day forecasts can shift with new observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
18°C 18%
16°C 18%
15°C 16%
19°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
14°C or below
7%
15°C
16%
16°C
18%
17°C
13%
18°C
18%
19°C
14%
20°C
9%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
8%
18°C 18%
16°C 18%
15°C 16%
19°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/06
14°C or below
$21 Vol.
7%
15°C
$28 Vol.
16%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$15 Vol.
13%
18°C
$70 Vol.
18%
19°C
$62 Vol.
14%
20°C
$6 Vol.
9%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts, corroborated by ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 amid persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover following a sharp late-March cold snap that dropped temperatures 10–15°C across France. This cool, unsettled pattern—marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and overcast skies—has suppressed recent daily maxima to 12–15°C, aligning trader consensus with 38% implied probability for 14°C or below and 19% for 16°C as leading outcomes. Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 14–15°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty from potential clearing or ridging. Watch for daily updates from Météo-France, as 4-day forecasts can shift with new observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
音量
$152終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Météo-France forecasts, corroborated by ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 amid persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover following a sharp late-March cold snap that dropped temperatures 10–15°C across France. This cool, unsettled pattern—marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and overcast skies—has suppressed recent daily maxima to 12–15°C, aligning trader consensus with 38% implied probability for 14°C or below and 19% for 16°C as leading outcomes. Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 14–15°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty from potential clearing or ridging. Watch for daily updates from Météo-France, as 4-day forecasts can shift with new observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$152終了日
2026/04/06マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ETLatest Météo-France forecasts, corroborated by ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS, project Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 amid persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover following a sharp late-March cold snap that dropped temperatures 10–15°C across France. This cool, unsettled pattern—marked by northwest winds, frequent showers, and overcast skies—has suppressed recent daily maxima to 12–15°C, aligning trader consensus with 38% implied probability for 14°C or below and 19% for 16°C as leading outcomes. Early April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 14–15°C, though model spread introduces uncertainty from potential clearing or ridging. Watch for daily updates from Météo-France, as 4-day forecasts can shift with new observational data.
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