Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature at LAX (KLAX) on April 5, with models like GFS and ECMWF clustering implied highs between 68-77°F amid a post-March heatwave cooling trend. A transient upper-level trough is driving cooler-than-normal conditions across Southern California, enhancing onshore flow and strengthening the coastal marine layer—low stratus clouds that cap daytime heating in the LA Basin. Recent NWS updates show highs near 72-80°F, but persistent boundary-layer stability and light southwest winds favor the 72-75°F range, aligning with April climatological normals around 72°F. New model runs expected daily could shift odds based on trough depth and clearing potential.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
4月5日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
華氏74~75度 26%
72~73°F 21%
70〜71°F 15%
76〜77°F 15%
67°F以下
7%
68〜69°F
14%
70〜71°F
15%
72~73°F
21%
華氏74~75度
26%
76〜77°F
15%
78〜79°F
11%
80~81°F
7%
82〜83°F
3%
84〜85°F
3%
86°F以上
2%
華氏74~75度 26%
72~73°F 21%
70〜71°F 15%
76〜77°F 15%
67°F以下
7%
68〜69°F
14%
70〜71°F
15%
72~73°F
21%
華氏74~75度
26%
76〜77°F
15%
78〜79°F
11%
80~81°F
7%
82〜83°F
3%
84〜85°F
3%
86°F以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Los Angeles' highest temperature at LAX (KLAX) on April 5, with models like GFS and ECMWF clustering implied highs between 68-77°F amid a post-March heatwave cooling trend. A transient upper-level trough is driving cooler-than-normal conditions across Southern California, enhancing onshore flow and strengthening the coastal marine layer—low stratus clouds that cap daytime heating in the LA Basin. Recent NWS updates show highs near 72-80°F, but persistent boundary-layer stability and light southwest winds favor the 72-75°F range, aligning with April climatological normals around 72°F. New model runs expected daily could shift odds based on trough depth and clearing potential.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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