Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight forecast cluster around 66-69°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 2, driven by the sharp cooldown following Southern California's record-shattering March heatwave, where a persistent heat dome pushed highs into the 90s before dissipating last week. National Weather Service normals peg early April highs near 67°F at LAX, aligning with current model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing mid-to-upper 60s amid strengthening onshore flow and lingering marine layer stratus, which caps daytime heating through midday. Differentiating the leading bins are subtle variations in afternoon clearing—favoring 68-69°F if winds shift westerly versus persistent clouds holding 66-67°F—against a backdrop of La Niña fading to ENSO-neutral conditions typical for variable spring temps. New forecast updates from NOAA daily could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月2日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
4月2日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は?
68〜69°F 30%
66~67°F 25%
72〜73°F 19%
70~71°F 17%
59°F以下
4%
60~61°F
3%
62〜63°F
13%
64〜65°F
13%
66~67°F
25%
68〜69°F
30%
70~71°F
17%
72〜73°F
19%
華氏74~75度
5%
76~77°F
3%
78°F以上
3%
68〜69°F 30%
66~67°F 25%
72〜73°F 19%
70~71°F 17%
59°F以下
4%
60~61°F
3%
62〜63°F
13%
64〜65°F
13%
66~67°F
25%
68〜69°F
30%
70~71°F
17%
72〜73°F
19%
華氏74~75度
5%
76~77°F
3%
78°F以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 29, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a tight forecast cluster around 66-69°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on April 2, driven by the sharp cooldown following Southern California's record-shattering March heatwave, where a persistent heat dome pushed highs into the 90s before dissipating last week. National Weather Service normals peg early April highs near 67°F at LAX, aligning with current model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles showing mid-to-upper 60s amid strengthening onshore flow and lingering marine layer stratus, which caps daytime heating through midday. Differentiating the leading bins are subtle variations in afternoon clearing—favoring 68-69°F if winds shift westerly versus persistent clouds holding 66-67°F—against a backdrop of La Niña fading to ENSO-neutral conditions typical for variable spring temps. New forecast updates from NOAA daily could refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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