Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts point to a high of around 16°C in Seoul on March 29 under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 15–17°C outcomes at roughly 33–74% cumulative implied probability. Recent passage of a weak cold front has given way to warmer air masses, boosting odds for 17°C or higher (33.5%) via potential high-pressure ridging, while model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reveal uncertainty with spreads of 3–5°C tied to cloud cover variability and jet stream positioning. Lower outcomes like 13°C (14%) or below gain traction if northerly gusts persist or overcast skies suppress heating. Historical March highs average 12°C, but early spring warming elevates upside risk; monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for refinement as resolution approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月29日のソウルの最高気温は?
3月29日のソウルの最高気温は?
17°C以上 34%
14°C 21%
15°C 21%
16℃ 21%
7℃以下
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12℃
8%
13℃
11%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16℃
21%
17°C以上
34%
17°C以上 34%
14°C 21%
15°C 21%
16℃ 21%
7℃以下
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
4%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12℃
8%
13℃
11%
14°C
21%
15°C
21%
16℃
21%
17°C以上
34%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) forecasts point to a high of around 16°C in Seoul on March 29 under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, driving trader consensus toward 15–17°C outcomes at roughly 33–74% cumulative implied probability. Recent passage of a weak cold front has given way to warmer air masses, boosting odds for 17°C or higher (33.5%) via potential high-pressure ridging, while model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS reveal uncertainty with spreads of 3–5°C tied to cloud cover variability and jet stream positioning. Lower outcomes like 13°C (14%) or below gain traction if northerly gusts persist or overcast skies suppress heating. Historical March highs average 12°C, but early spring warming elevates upside risk; monitor KMA's next 12-hour update for refinement as resolution approaches.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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