Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a maximum of 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds ushering in a cold front. This follows a sharp cooling trend after early April highs near 28°C, as a frontal system increases cloud cover and suppresses daytime heating. Ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models show slight divergence—some runs peak at 20°C with heavier overcast, others nudge toward 22°C if winds lighten—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud evolution. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation; watch SMN's April 4 update and overnight model refreshes for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
4月5日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は?
21℃ 27%
19℃ 22%
20°C 22%
22℃ 12%
14℃以下
1%
15℃
1%
16°C
1%
17℃
3%
18°C
11%
19℃
22%
20°C
22%
21℃
27%
22℃
12%
23℃
6%
24℃以上
3%
21℃ 27%
19℃ 22%
20°C 22%
22℃ 12%
14℃以下
1%
15℃
1%
16°C
1%
17℃
3%
18°C
11%
19℃
22%
20°C
22%
21℃
27%
22℃
12%
23℃
6%
24℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 19–21°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 5, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a maximum of 21°C under mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds ushering in a cold front. This follows a sharp cooling trend after early April highs near 28°C, as a frontal system increases cloud cover and suppresses daytime heating. Ensemble outputs from GFS and ECMWF models show slight divergence—some runs peak at 20°C with heavier overcast, others nudge toward 22°C if winds lighten—highlighting uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud evolution. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current synoptic patterns favor moderation; watch SMN's April 4 update and overnight model refreshes for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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