Trader consensus favors 7°C or below at 37.5% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and light rain from a weak low-pressure system, capping highs around 7–9°C amid northerly winds ushering cooler air masses. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours reflect this shift after slightly warmer projections for April 3–4 (up to 15°C), aligning with early April climatology where average highs hover near 8°C due to low solar angles and transitional spring patterns. Official station data from Russian Hydrometeorological Center will resolve the market; watch daily forecast updates for potential refinements as uncertainty remains in boundary layer mixing and precip timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日のモスクワの最高気温は？
4月5日のモスクワの最高気温は？
7℃以下 27%
11°C 21%
8℃ 14%
9℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
7℃以下
35%
8℃
14%
9℃
14%
10°C
11%
11°C
18%
12℃
11%
13°C
8%
14℃
4%
15℃
3%
16℃
1%
17℃以上
<1%
7℃以下 27%
11°C 21%
8℃ 14%
9℃ 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
7℃以下
$22 Vol.
35%
8℃
$18 Vol.
14%
9℃
$9 Vol.
14%
10°C
$9 Vol.
11%
11°C
$43 Vol.
18%
12℃
$37 Vol.
11%
13°C
$9 Vol.
8%
14℃
$64 Vol.
4%
15℃
$57 Vol.
3%
16℃
$470 Vol.
1%
17℃以上
$298 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 7°C or below at 37.5% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and light rain from a weak low-pressure system, capping highs around 7–9°C amid northerly winds ushering cooler air masses. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours reflect this shift after slightly warmer projections for April 3–4 (up to 15°C), aligning with early April climatology where average highs hover near 8°C due to low solar angles and transitional spring patterns. Official station data from Russian Hydrometeorological Center will resolve the market; watch daily forecast updates for potential refinements as uncertainty remains in boundary layer mixing and precip timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
音量
$1,037終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 7°C or below at 37.5% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and light rain from a weak low-pressure system, capping highs around 7–9°C amid northerly winds ushering cooler air masses. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours reflect this shift after slightly warmer projections for April 3–4 (up to 15°C), aligning with early April climatology where average highs hover near 8°C due to low solar angles and transitional spring patterns. Official station data from Russian Hydrometeorological Center will resolve the market; watch daily forecast updates for potential refinements as uncertainty remains in boundary layer mixing and precip timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,037終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 7°C or below at 37.5% implied probability for Moscow's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing persistent cloud cover and light rain from a weak low-pressure system, capping highs around 7–9°C amid northerly winds ushering cooler air masses. Recent model runs over the past 24 hours reflect this shift after slightly warmer projections for April 3–4 (up to 15°C), aligning with early April climatology where average highs hover near 8°C due to low solar angles and transitional spring patterns. Official station data from Russian Hydrometeorological Center will resolve the market; watch daily forecast updates for potential refinements as uncertainty remains in boundary layer mixing and precip timing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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