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2028年民主党大統領候補

Market icon

2028年民主党大統領候補

ギャビン・ニューサム 25.1%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.8%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.9%

Polymarket

$782,521,547 Vol.

ギャビン・ニューサム 25.1%

アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス 8.8%

カマラ・ハリス 5.3%

ジョン・オソフ 4.9%

Polymarket

$782,521,547 Vol.

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ギャビン・ニューサム

$10,685,273 Vol.

25%

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アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス

$5,369,093 Vol.

9%

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カマラ・ハリス

$7,470,739 Vol.

5%

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ジョン・オソフ

$4,997,554 Vol.

5%

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ジョシュ・シャピロ

$5,010,253 Vol.

4%

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ピート・ブティジェッジ

$7,402,759 Vol.

4%

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マーク・ケリー

$9,355,365 Vol.

2%

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ジェームズ・タラリコ

$2,332,450 Vol.

2%

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アンディ・ベシア

$4,996,825 Vol.

2%

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ジョン・スチュワート

$8,166,092 Vol.

2%

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J.B.プリツカー

$7,535,282 Vol.

2%

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ルーベン・ガレゴ

$3,012,323 Vol.

2%

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スティーブン・A・スミス

$11,394,770 Vol.

2%

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グレッチェン・ウィットマー

$6,221,495 Vol.

2%

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ラーム・エマニュエル

$9,386,936 Vol.

2%

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ウェス・ムーア

$9,104,678 Vol.

2%

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ドウェイン・“ザ・ロック”・ジョンソン

$7,650,158 Vol.

1%

Market icon

コリー・ブッカー

$17,560,756 Vol.

1%

Market icon

バラク・オバマ

$20,431,207 Vol.

1%

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ミシェル・オバマ

$18,041,516 Vol.

1%

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ゾラン・マムダニ

$30,704,735 Vol.

1%

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ロ・カンナ

$3,353,329 Vol.

1%

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ジョン・フェッターマン

$14,645,739 Vol.

1%

Market icon

マーク・キューバン

$13,826,076 Vol.

1%

Market icon

フィル・マーフィー

$28,379,570 Vol.

1%

Market icon

クリス・マーフィー

$8,807,946 Vol.

1%

Market icon

レブロン・ジェームズ

$29,966,353 Vol.

1%

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ジーナ・ライモンド

$23,690,529 Vol.

1%

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ラファエル・ワーノック

$18,919,729 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ジョージ・クルーニー

$33,519,553 Vol.

1%

Market icon

リズ・チェイニー

$28,292,904 Vol.

1%

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アンドリュー・ヤン

$33,485,647 Vol.

1%

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ハンター・バイデン

$26,344,400 Vol.

1%

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チェルシー・クリントン

$41,229,892 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$31,325,392 Vol.

1%

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ロイ・クーパー

$22,692,995 Vol.

1%

Market icon

バーニー・サンダース

$32,062,643 Vol.

1%

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ベト・オルーク

$25,240,600 Vol.

1%

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キム・カーダシアン

$24,822,818 Vol.

1%

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ヒラリー・クリントン

$32,188,668 Vol.

1%

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オプラ・ウィンフリー

$38,371,134 Vol.

1%

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ティム・ウォルズ

$32,143,705 Vol.

1%

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ジャレッド・ポリス

$15,455,413 Vol.

1%

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ジャスミン・クロケット

$16,978,326 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$782,521,547
終了日
Nov 7, 2028
マーケット開始日
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2028年民主党大統領候補" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, followed by "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2028年民主党大統領候補" has generated $782.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2028年民主党大統領候補," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2028年民主党大統領候補" is "ギャビン・ニューサム" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "アレクサンドリア・オカシオ=コルテス" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2028年民主党大統領候補" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.