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Which candidates will advance in Romanian Election 1st round?

Market icon

Which candidates will advance in Romanian Election 1st round?

$5,955,650 Vol.

Jul 31, 2025
Polymarket

$5,955,650 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Victor Ponta

$389,216 Vol.

No

Market icon

Daniel Funeriu

$14,600 Vol.

No

Market icon

Elena Lasconi

$338,744 Vol.

No

Market icon

Călin Georgescu

$876,876 Vol.

No

Market icon

Marcel Ciolacu

$339,470 Vol.

No

Market icon

George Simion

$735,086 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Nicolae Ciucă

$271,649 Vol.

No

Market icon

Mircea Geoană

$505,421 Vol.

No

Market icon

Cristian-Vasile Terheș

$86,278 Vol.

No

Market icon

Marcela-Lavinia Șandru

$30,012 Vol.

No

Market icon

John-Ion Banu-Muscel

$43,987 Vol.

No

Market icon

Silviu Predoiu

$162,043 Vol.

No

Market icon

Sebastian-Constantin Popescu

$51,027 Vol.

No

Market icon

Anamaria Gavrilă

$159,664 Vol.

No

Market icon

Nicușor Dan

$1,081,718 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Crin Antonescu

$869,859 Vol.

No

Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round.

The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elena Lasconi either advances to the Romanian presidential runoff election, or wins the Presidency in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Volume
$5,955,650
Date de fin
Jun 30, 2025
Marché ouvert
Dec 6, 2024, 6:01 PM ET
Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round. The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elena Lasconi either advances to the Romanian presidential runoff election, or wins the Presidency in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Which candidates will advance in Romanian Election 1st round?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "George Simion" at 100%, followed by "Nicușor Dan" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which candidates will advance in Romanian Election 1st round?" has generated $6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which candidates will advance in Romanian Election 1st round?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which candidates will advance in Romanian Election 1st round?" is "George Simion" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nicușor Dan" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which candidates will advance in Romanian Election 1st round?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.