Market icon
Monde·Automatisation Des Récompenses 50 4,5 50

Nombre de passagers TSA 4 avril ?

Market icon
Monde·Automatisation Des Récompenses 50 4,5 50

Nombre de passagers TSA 4 avril ?

avr. 2

avr. 3

avr. 4

avr. 2

avr. 3

avr. 4

<3,0 M 98.1%

3,0M-3,2M 3.0%

3,4M-3,6M <1%

>3,8M <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<3,0 M 98.1%

3,0M-3,2M 3.0%

3,4M-3,6M <1%

>3,8M <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<3,0 M

$343 Vol.

98%

3,0M-3,2M

$0 Vol.

3%

3,2M-3,4M

$1,403 Vol.

<1%

3,4M-3,6M

$1,771 Vol.

<1%

3,6M-3,8M

$1,779 Vol.

<1%

>3,8M

$1,758 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Polymarket traders assign a 98% implied probability to fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, reflecting strong consensus driven by persistent sub-3 million daily throughputs amid a prolonged DHS government shutdown. Latest data shows April 1 at 2.36 million (-10% YoY), March 31 at 2.15 million, and a recent peak of 2.76 million on March 29, with averages around 2.45 million as staffing shortages—over 450 officer quits and 11% absenteeism—trigger multi-hour security lines, curbing demand. This Saturday before Easter Sunday could see modest weekend uplift, but shutdown chaos dominates; realistic challenges include sudden funding resolution or outsized holiday travel surge breaching recent highs.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$7,054
Date de fin
4 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Polymarket traders assign a 98% implied probability to fewer than 3.0 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 4, reflecting strong consensus driven by persistent sub-3 million daily throughputs amid a prolonged DHS government shutdown. Latest data shows April 1 at 2.36 million (-10% YoY), March 31 at 2.15 million, and a recent peak of 2.76 million on March 29, with averages around 2.45 million as staffing shortages—over 450 officer quits and 11% absenteeism—trigger multi-hour security lines, curbing demand. This Saturday before Easter Sunday could see modest weekend uplift, but shutdown chaos dominates; realistic challenges include sudden funding resolution or outsized holiday travel surge breaching recent highs.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$7,054
Date de fin
4 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 4:47 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 4, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Nombre de passagers TSA 4 avril ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <3,0 M » à 98%, suivi de « 3,0M-3,2M » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 98¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Nombre de passagers TSA 4 avril ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 2, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Nombre de passagers TSA 4 avril ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Nombre de passagers TSA 4 avril ? » est « <3,0 M » à 98%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 98% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 3,0M-3,2M » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Nombre de passagers TSA 4 avril ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.