Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the DC Metro area's median home value near $557,000 by April 30, 2026, with the 555-558k bin at 50% implied probability edging out 558-561k at 49.5%, reflecting razor-thin sentiment amid softening price momentum. February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro stood at approximately $572,000, down 0.3% year-over-year, while Redfin median sale prices hit $590,000, declining 8.9% annually as inventory surged over 33% and days on market stretched to 108. Elevated mortgage rates near 7%, federal government hiring uncertainty, and buyer caution differentiate the tight race, with spring sales volume as the key swing factor ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour549 - 552k 48%
555 - 558k 48%
558 - 561k 48%
552 - 555k 47%
<549k
42%
549 - 552k
48%
552 - 555k
47%
555 - 558k
48%
558 - 561k
48%
561 - 564k
43%
564 - 567k
44%
>567k
46%
549 - 552k 48%
555 - 558k 48%
558 - 561k 48%
552 - 555k 47%
<549k
42%
549 - 552k
48%
552 - 555k
47%
555 - 558k
48%
558 - 561k
48%
561 - 564k
43%
564 - 567k
44%
>567k
46%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the DC Metro area's median home value near $557,000 by April 30, 2026, with the 555-558k bin at 50% implied probability edging out 558-561k at 49.5%, reflecting razor-thin sentiment amid softening price momentum. February 2026 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) for the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria metro stood at approximately $572,000, down 0.3% year-over-year, while Redfin median sale prices hit $590,000, declining 8.9% annually as inventory surged over 33% and days on market stretched to 108. Elevated mortgage rates near 7%, federal government hiring uncertainty, and buyer caution differentiate the tight race, with spring sales volume as the key swing factor ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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