Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus with 49% implied probabilities across $1.17M–$1.22M bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30 per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, reflecting balanced forces after February's modest 0.4% month-over-month gain to around $1.162M amid scant supply. March's rising inventory—highlighted in local reports—has introduced downward pressure, extending days on market while high 6.37% 30-year mortgage rates curb affordability for entry-level buyers. Countering this, seasonal spring demand and resilient high-income employment in tech and entertainment sustain upside potential, with traders split on whether accelerating listings or robust job growth prevails ahead of the index's daily updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour<1.17m 46%
1.17 - 1.18m 46%
1.18 - 1.19m 46%
1.19 - 1.2m 46%
<1.17m
46%
1.17 - 1.18m
46%
1.18 - 1.19m
46%
1.19 - 1.2m
46%
1.2 - 1.21m
46%
1.21 - 1.22m
46%
>1.22m
46%
<1.17m 46%
1.17 - 1.18m 46%
1.18 - 1.19m 46%
1.19 - 1.2m 46%
<1.17m
46%
1.17 - 1.18m
46%
1.18 - 1.19m
46%
1.19 - 1.2m
46%
1.2 - 1.21m
46%
1.21 - 1.22m
46%
>1.22m
46%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/24)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show razor-thin consensus with 49% implied probabilities across $1.17M–$1.22M bins for Los Angeles metro median home value on April 30 per the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index, reflecting balanced forces after February's modest 0.4% month-over-month gain to around $1.162M amid scant supply. March's rising inventory—highlighted in local reports—has introduced downward pressure, extending days on market while high 6.37% 30-year mortgage rates curb affordability for entry-level buyers. Countering this, seasonal spring demand and resilient high-income employment in tech and entertainment sustain upside potential, with traders split on whether accelerating listings or robust job growth prevails ahead of the index's daily updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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