Parcl Labs' latest NYC median home value index stands at $581,130 as of March 30—down 1.04% week-over-week and 0.09% daily—driving trader sentiment toward a narrow implied consensus around $579,000 for the April 1 close. The closely contested market-implied odds, with 37.5% on 575-580k edging 28.9% on 580-585k, reflect subdued volatility (2.11% annualized) from winter sales slowdowns and a recent mortgage rate uptick above 6.3%, curbing buyer demand despite steady inventory. Key swing factors include potential spring listing upticks versus persistent affordability strains; resolution hinges on tomorrow's daily index amid a 30-day downtrend from $588,000 highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourWhat will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
What will the median home value in New York City be on April 1?
575 - 580k 38.0%
580 - 585k 28.6%
590 - 595k 6.1%
585 - 590k 5.8%
$14,834 Vol.
$14,834 Vol.
<570k
1%
570 - 575k
3%
575 - 580k
38%
580 - 585k
38%
585 - 590k
6%
590 - 595k
6%
595 - 600k
1%
>600k
1%
575 - 580k 38.0%
580 - 585k 28.6%
590 - 595k 6.1%
585 - 590k 5.8%
$14,834 Vol.
$14,834 Vol.
<570k
1%
570 - 575k
3%
575 - 580k
38%
580 - 585k
38%
585 - 590k
6%
590 - 595k
6%
595 - 600k
1%
>600k
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/18)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Parcl Labs' latest NYC median home value index stands at $581,130 as of March 30—down 1.04% week-over-week and 0.09% daily—driving trader sentiment toward a narrow implied consensus around $579,000 for the April 1 close. The closely contested market-implied odds, with 37.5% on 575-580k edging 28.9% on 580-585k, reflect subdued volatility (2.11% annualized) from winter sales slowdowns and a recent mortgage rate uptick above 6.3%, curbing buyer demand despite steady inventory. Key swing factors include potential spring listing upticks versus persistent affordability strains; resolution hinges on tomorrow's daily index amid a 30-day downtrend from $588,000 highs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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