Trader sentiment on whether the 30-year mortgage rate will hit its specified threshold in 2026 reflects cooling inflation offset by recent yield pressures, with the Freddie Mac average at 6.38% as of March 26—up 16 basis points weekly amid a 10-year Treasury yield dipping to 4.35%. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.64% in March, signaling steady policy as February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year. Market-implied paths from Fannie Mae and others project rates easing toward 5.9% by year-end if disinflation continues, but March CPI data (due April 10) and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting represent pivotal catalysts that could recalibrate trader consensus on 2026 trajectories.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLe taux hypothécaire à 30 ans atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
Le taux hypothécaire à 30 ans atteindra-t-il __ en 2026 ?
$43,345 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑ 7,00 %
41%
↑ 6,75 %
49%
↑ 6,50 %
79%
↓ 5,90 %
50%
↓ 5,70 %
43%
↓ 5,50 %
52%
$43,345 Vol.
↑ 7,00 %
$13 Vol.
41%
↑ 6,75 %
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ 6,50 %
$6,451 Vol.
79%
↓ 5,90 %
$0 Vol.
50%
↓ 5,70 %
$6,769 Vol.
43%
↓ 5,50 %
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Trader sentiment on whether the 30-year mortgage rate will hit its specified threshold in 2026 reflects cooling inflation offset by recent yield pressures, with the Freddie Mac average at 6.38% as of March 26—up 16 basis points weekly amid a 10-year Treasury yield dipping to 4.35%. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.64% in March, signaling steady policy as February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year. Market-implied paths from Fannie Mae and others project rates easing toward 5.9% by year-end if disinflation continues, but March CPI data (due April 10) and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting represent pivotal catalysts that could recalibrate trader consensus on 2026 trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$43,345Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Trader sentiment on whether the 30-year mortgage rate will hit its specified threshold in 2026 reflects cooling inflation offset by recent yield pressures, with the Freddie Mac average at 6.38% as of March 26—up 16 basis points weekly amid a 10-year Treasury yield dipping to 4.35%. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.64% in March, signaling steady policy as February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year. Market-implied paths from Fannie Mae and others project rates easing toward 5.9% by year-end if disinflation continues, but March CPI data (due April 10) and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting represent pivotal catalysts that could recalibrate trader consensus on 2026 trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volume
$43,345Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on whether the 30-year mortgage rate will hit its specified threshold in 2026 reflects cooling inflation offset by recent yield pressures, with the Freddie Mac average at 6.38% as of March 26—up 16 basis points weekly amid a 10-year Treasury yield dipping to 4.35%. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.64% in March, signaling steady policy as February CPI held at 2.4% year-over-year. Market-implied paths from Fannie Mae and others project rates easing toward 5.9% by year-end if disinflation continues, but March CPI data (due April 10) and the April 28-29 FOMC meeting represent pivotal catalysts that could recalibrate trader consensus on 2026 trajectories.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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