The Bank of Israel's Monetary Committee held its benchmark interest rate at 4% on March 30—its second straight pause following January and November 2025 cuts—amid an inflation uptick to 2% in February within the 1-3% target, renewed geopolitical risks from Iran tensions, and trimmed 2026 growth forecasts to 3.8%. This fragile equilibrium, with Governor Amir Yaron signaling cuts remain possible despite energy-driven price pressures, drives the tight trader consensus for the July 6 decision, where no change leads marginally while decrease and increase odds reflect symmetric uncertainties. Key catalysts ahead include May's rate announcement, fresh CPI data, shekel movements, and regional escalation signals that could tip the balance toward easing or tightening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPas de changement 51%
Baisse 45%
Augmentation 45%
Baisse
45%
Pas de changement
51%
Augmentation
45%
Pas de changement 51%
Baisse 45%
Augmentation 45%
Baisse
45%
Pas de changement
51%
Augmentation
45%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Israel's Monetary Committee held its benchmark interest rate at 4% on March 30—its second straight pause following January and November 2025 cuts—amid an inflation uptick to 2% in February within the 1-3% target, renewed geopolitical risks from Iran tensions, and trimmed 2026 growth forecasts to 3.8%. This fragile equilibrium, with Governor Amir Yaron signaling cuts remain possible despite energy-driven price pressures, drives the tight trader consensus for the July 6 decision, where no change leads marginally while decrease and increase odds reflect symmetric uncertainties. Key catalysts ahead include May's rate announcement, fresh CPI data, shekel movements, and regional escalation signals that could tip the balance toward easing or tightening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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