Market icon
Économie·Iran

Le gaz atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin avril ?

Market icon
Économie·Iran

Le gaz atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin avril ?

avr. 30

avr. 30

NOUVEAU

$129,427 Vol.

30 avr. 2026
Polymarket

$129,427 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 5,00 $

$4,273 Vol.

7%

↑ 4,75 $

$2,078 Vol.

16%

↑ 4,50 $

$2,056 Vol.

43%

↑ 4,25 $

$3,673 Vol.

75%

↑ 4,15 $

$2,546 Vol.

95%

↓ 3,95 $

$1,586 Vol.

44%

↓ 3,85 $

$2,147 Vol.

35%

↓ 3,75 $

$444 Vol.

12%

↓ 3,50 $

$0 Vol.

8%

↓ 3,25 $

$1 Vol.

7%

↓ 3,00 $

$495 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average retail gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, reaching about $4.13 as of early April 2026, driven primarily by escalating geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Israel military actions against Iran starting late February, which disrupted Middle East oil supplies and spiked crude prices. Refinery margins have tightened amid seasonal spring demand from spring break travel, while the switch to costlier summer-blend gasoline nears by May 1. EIA's March Short-Term Energy Outlook projected a 2026 annual average of $3.34/gallon before the conflict overrode forecasts; traders watch for de-escalation signals, OPEC responses, or further Strait of Hormuz disruptions ahead of the April 30 resolution, with next weekly EIA data due April 7.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$129,427
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".U.S. national average retail gasoline prices have surged past $4 per gallon for the first time since 2022, reaching about $4.13 as of early April 2026, driven primarily by escalating geopolitical tensions from the U.S.-Israel military actions against Iran starting late February, which disrupted Middle East oil supplies and spiked crude prices. Refinery margins have tightened amid seasonal spring demand from spring break travel, while the switch to costlier summer-blend gasoline nears by May 1. EIA's March Short-Term Energy Outlook projected a 2026 annual average of $3.34/gallon before the conflict overrode forecasts; traders watch for de-escalation signals, OPEC responses, or further Strait of Hormuz disruptions ahead of the April 30 resolution, with next weekly EIA data due April 7.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volume
$129,427
Date de fin
30 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Le gaz atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin avril ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 12 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ↑ 4,05 $ » à 100%, suivi de « ↑ 4,15 $ » à 95%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le gaz atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin avril ? » a généré $129.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 31, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le gaz atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin avril ? », parcourez les 12 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le gaz atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin avril ? » est « ↑ 4,05 $ » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ↑ 4,15 $ » à 95%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le gaz atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin avril ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.