Trader consensus clusters around 25-39 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz for March 30-April 5, reflecting sustained low volumes from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted February 28 with strikes on Iranian targets, slashing daily traffic from pre-war averages of 130+ vessels to 3-11 amid Iranian controls, selective approvals, and dark transits. Recent upticks—six eastbound on March 28 per Windward, nine on March 29, and Chinese container ships succeeding March 30 after prior retreats—have narrowed the race between 25-29 and 30-34, but loitering vessels and warnings keep outcomes uncertain. Escalation like new attacks or stricter blockades could drop below 20; diplomatic breakthroughs or more permissions might push toward 40+. IMF Portwatch data will resolve.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 30-Apr 5)
25-29 22%
45+ 19%
30-34 16%
35-39 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
<10
3%
10-14
4%
15-19
6%
20-24
15%
25-29
22%
30-34
16%
35-39
16%
40-44
13%
45+
19%
25-29 22%
45+ 19%
30-34 16%
35-39 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
<10
$518 Vol.
3%
10-14
$525 Vol.
4%
15-19
$367 Vol.
6%
20-24
$381 Vol.
15%
25-29
$439 Vol.
22%
30-34
$336 Vol.
16%
35-39
$377 Vol.
16%
40-44
$377 Vol.
13%
45+
$647 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 30, 2026, through April 5, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus clusters around 25-39 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz for March 30-April 5, reflecting sustained low volumes from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted February 28 with strikes on Iranian targets, slashing daily traffic from pre-war averages of 130+ vessels to 3-11 amid Iranian controls, selective approvals, and dark transits. Recent upticks—six eastbound on March 28 per Windward, nine on March 29, and Chinese container ships succeeding March 30 after prior retreats—have narrowed the race between 25-29 and 30-34, but loitering vessels and warnings keep outcomes uncertain. Escalation like new attacks or stricter blockades could drop below 20; diplomatic breakthroughs or more permissions might push toward 40+. IMF Portwatch data will resolve.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 30, 2026, through April 5, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$3,967Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 30, 2026, through April 5, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus clusters around 25-39 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz for March 30-April 5, reflecting sustained low volumes from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted February 28 with strikes on Iranian targets, slashing daily traffic from pre-war averages of 130+ vessels to 3-11 amid Iranian controls, selective approvals, and dark transits. Recent upticks—six eastbound on March 28 per Windward, nine on March 29, and Chinese container ships succeeding March 30 after prior retreats—have narrowed the race between 25-29 and 30-34, but loitering vessels and warnings keep outcomes uncertain. Escalation like new attacks or stricter blockades could drop below 20; diplomatic breakthroughs or more permissions might push toward 40+. IMF Portwatch data will resolve.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 30, 2026, through April 5, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Volume
$3,967Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 30, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 25-39 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz for March 30-April 5, reflecting sustained low volumes from the U.S.-Iran conflict that erupted February 28 with strikes on Iranian targets, slashing daily traffic from pre-war averages of 130+ vessels to 3-11 amid Iranian controls, selective approvals, and dark transits. Recent upticks—six eastbound on March 28 per Windward, nine on March 29, and Chinese container ships succeeding March 30 after prior retreats—have narrowed the race between 25-29 and 30-34, but loitering vessels and warnings keep outcomes uncertain. Escalation like new attacks or stricter blockades could drop below 20; diplomatic breakthroughs or more permissions might push toward 40+. IMF Portwatch data will resolve.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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