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Politique·Récompenses

Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026

Market icon
Politique·Récompenses

Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.3%

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

Donald Trump 8%

Pope Leo XIV 4.5%

Polymarket

$14,064,935 Vol.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9.3%

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

Donald Trump 8%

Pope Leo XIV 4.5%

Polymarket

$14,064,935 Vol.

Est-ce que Volodymyr Zelenskyy remportera le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$423,153 Vol.

9%

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? icon

Yulia Navalnaya

$125,167 Vol.

9%

Donald Trump remportera-t-il le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Donald Trump

$2,540,741 Vol.

8%

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? icon

Pope Leo XIV

$631,288 Vol.

5%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani remportera-t-il le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$521,895 Vol.

3%

La Cour internationale de Justice remportera-t-elle le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

La Cour internationale de Justice

$686,300 Vol.

3%

Greta Thunberg remportera-t-elle le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026? icon

Greta Thunberg

$1,069,786 Vol.

3%

UNRWA remportera-t-il le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

UNRWA

$1,827,640 Vol.

3%

Xi Jinping remportera-t-il le prix Nobel de la Paix en 2026 ? icon

Xi Jinping

$905,532 Vol.

2%

Narendra Modi remportera-t-il le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Narendra Modi

$413,041 Vol.

2%

Ahmed al-Sharaa peut-il gagner le prix Nobel de la Paix en 2026 ? icon

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$679,306 Vol.

1%

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan remportera-t-il le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$508,969 Vol.

1%

Mohammed bin Salman gagnera-t-il le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Mohammed bin Salman

$646,941 Vol.

1%

Est-ce que Charlie Kirk remportera le Prix Nobel de la Paix en 2026 ? icon

Charlie Kirk

$714,968 Vol.

1%

Est-ce qu'Elon Musk remportera le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Elon Musk

$558,963 Vol.

1%

Khaled Mashal remportera-t-il le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Khaled Mashal

$289,506 Vol.

1%

Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? icon

Julian Assange

$363,472 Vol.

1%

António Guterres remportera-t-il le Prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Titre de l’élément de groupe : António Guterres

$253,122 Vol.

1%

Vladimir Poutine va-t-il gagner le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Vladimir Poutine

$543,136 Vol.

1%

Benjamin Netanyahu obtiendra-t-il le prix Nobel de la paix en 2026 ? icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$362,203 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy edging ahead at 9.3% implied probability after his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who praised Ukraine's defense of democracy against Russian aggression as a bulwark for European stability. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her role as a symbol of Russian opposition amid ongoing repression, while Donald Trump's 7.5% stems from U.S. congressional nominations and deal-making narratives. Pope Leo XIV's 4.5% highlights papal mediation efforts in global conflicts. With no frontrunner above 10%, dynamics hinge on the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive preferences for humanitarians over wartime figures, evolving Ukraine-Russia tensions, and potential breakthroughs before the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$14,064,935
Date de fin
10 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented field for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, with Volodymyr Zelenskyy edging ahead at 9.3% implied probability after his late-March formal nomination by University of Oslo professor Dag Øistein Endsjø, who praised Ukraine's defense of democracy against Russian aggression as a bulwark for European stability. Yulia Navalnaya trails closely at 8.5%, buoyed by her role as a symbol of Russian opposition amid ongoing repression, while Donald Trump's 7.5% stems from U.S. congressional nominations and deal-making narratives. Pope Leo XIV's 4.5% highlights papal mediation efforts in global conflicts. With no frontrunner above 10%, dynamics hinge on the Norwegian Nobel Committee's secretive preferences for humanitarians over wartime figures, evolving Ukraine-Russia tensions, and potential breakthroughs before the October announcement.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$14,064,935
Date de fin
10 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 16, 2025, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

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Questions fréquentes

« Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 20 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Volodymyr Zelenskyy » à 9%, suivi de « Yulia Navalnaya » à 9%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 9¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 9% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » a généré $14.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 16, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 », parcourez les 20 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » est « Volodymyr Zelenskyy » à seulement 9%, avec « Yulia Navalnaya » juste derrière à 9%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Lauréat du prix Nobel de la paix 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.