Aaron Judge leads the 2026 AL MVP market at 41.5% implied probability due to his early-season power surge, including a share of the MLB home run lead and top AL OPS marks through late May, alongside his established two-time defending winner status and elite bWAR production. Bobby Witt Jr. sits second at 24.5% on the strength of his all-around profile, elite defense at shortstop, and consistent prior output, though he trails in most major offensive categories so far. Yordan Alvarez holds third at 8.2% after a strong rebound from 2025 injuries, while emerging names like Ben Rice reflect Yankees teammate momentum. The pricing reflects trader consensus on current form and historical precedent rather than guarantees in a season still early.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAaron Judge 42%
Bobby Witt Jr. 25%
Yordan Alvarez 8.8%
Ben Rice 3.6%
$106,774 Vol.
$106,774 Vol.
Aaron Judge
42%
Bobby Witt Jr.
25%
Yordan Alvarez
9%
Ben Rice
4%
Nick Kurtz
4%
Jose Ramirez
3%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Julio Rodriguez
1%
Corey Seager
<1%
Aaron Judge 42%
Bobby Witt Jr. 25%
Yordan Alvarez 8.8%
Ben Rice 3.6%
$106,774 Vol.
$106,774 Vol.
Aaron Judge
42%
Bobby Witt Jr.
25%
Yordan Alvarez
9%
Ben Rice
4%
Nick Kurtz
4%
Jose Ramirez
3%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Mike Trout
1%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Julio Rodriguez
1%
Corey Seager
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge leads the 2026 AL MVP market at 41.5% implied probability due to his early-season power surge, including a share of the MLB home run lead and top AL OPS marks through late May, alongside his established two-time defending winner status and elite bWAR production. Bobby Witt Jr. sits second at 24.5% on the strength of his all-around profile, elite defense at shortstop, and consistent prior output, though he trails in most major offensive categories so far. Yordan Alvarez holds third at 8.2% after a strong rebound from 2025 injuries, while emerging names like Ben Rice reflect Yankees teammate momentum. The pricing reflects trader consensus on current form and historical precedent rather than guarantees in a season still early.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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