Aaron Judge's early-season power surge, including a share of the MLB lead in home runs and top rankings in runs scored through mid-May, has anchored his position as the clear AL MVP frontrunner in trader pricing. His consistent production for the Yankees has built a substantial lead over the field, reflecting the wisdom of crowds assessing his track record and current form. Bobby Witt Jr. trails as the primary challenger, bolstered by elite speed and defensive play for the Royals, while Yordan Alvarez's strong rebound campaign with the Astros keeps him in the mix. Ben Rice's breakout performance alongside Judge adds intra-team context, though the gap to the leaders remains wide. Recent injury recoveries and roster stability across contenders have further stabilized these implied probabilities without major shifts in the past week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAaron Judge 50%
Bobby Witt Jr. 20%
Yordan Alvarez 11.9%
Ben Rice 4.7%
$50,998 Vol.
$50,998 Vol.
Aaron Judge
50%
Bobby Witt Jr.
20%
Yordan Alvarez
12%
Ben Rice
5%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Nick Kurtz
3%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Julio Rodriguez
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Corey Seager
<1%
Aaron Judge 50%
Bobby Witt Jr. 20%
Yordan Alvarez 11.9%
Ben Rice 4.7%
$50,998 Vol.
$50,998 Vol.
Aaron Judge
50%
Bobby Witt Jr.
20%
Yordan Alvarez
12%
Ben Rice
5%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Nick Kurtz
3%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Julio Rodriguez
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Corey Seager
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge's early-season power surge, including a share of the MLB lead in home runs and top rankings in runs scored through mid-May, has anchored his position as the clear AL MVP frontrunner in trader pricing. His consistent production for the Yankees has built a substantial lead over the field, reflecting the wisdom of crowds assessing his track record and current form. Bobby Witt Jr. trails as the primary challenger, bolstered by elite speed and defensive play for the Royals, while Yordan Alvarez's strong rebound campaign with the Astros keeps him in the mix. Ben Rice's breakout performance alongside Judge adds intra-team context, though the gap to the leaders remains wide. Recent injury recoveries and roster stability across contenders have further stabilized these implied probabilities without major shifts in the past week.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes