Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks amid unresolved territorial disputes like Donbas control and mutual distrust, as seen in Zelenskyy's January rejection of a Moscow invitation countered by his Kyiv offer, and ongoing military actions including Ukraine's recent territorial gains and Russia's two-month withdrawal ultimatum. Trilateral discussions in Abu Dhabi last January involved delegates but no leaders, boosting low odds for UAE/Qatar (2.6%) as neutral venues; Turkey (2.5%) draws from its historical mediation role in grain deals and summits. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal via US envoys signals de-escalation potential, but core sticking points—security guarantees, sovereignty—persist without a direct summit breakthrough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPas de rencontre avant 2027 80%
Turquie 2.5%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 2.4%
États-Unis 2.4%
$1,872,853 Vol.
$1,872,853 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
80%

Turquie
2%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
2%

États-Unis
2%

Russia
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Hongrie
1%

Suisse
1%

Biélorussie
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

Inde
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
Pas de rencontre avant 2027 80%
Turquie 2.5%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 2.4%
États-Unis 2.4%
$1,872,853 Vol.
$1,872,853 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
80%

Turquie
2%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
2%

États-Unis
2%

Russia
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Hongrie
1%

Suisse
1%

Biélorussie
1%

Ukraine
1%

China
1%

Inde
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80%, reflecting stalled US-mediated peace talks amid unresolved territorial disputes like Donbas control and mutual distrust, as seen in Zelenskyy's January rejection of a Moscow invitation countered by his Kyiv offer, and ongoing military actions including Ukraine's recent territorial gains and Russia's two-month withdrawal ultimatum. Trilateral discussions in Abu Dhabi last January involved delegates but no leaders, boosting low odds for UAE/Qatar (2.6%) as neutral venues; Turkey (2.5%) draws from its historical mediation role in grain deals and summits. Zelenskyy's Easter truce proposal via US envoys signals de-escalation potential, but core sticking points—security guarantees, sovereignty—persist without a direct summit breakthrough.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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