Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 65-89 tweets (37.5%) and 40-64 (35.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, driven by his subdued April 4 output of just 12—a sharp drop from his recent 25-post daily average tracked via X analytics. This early slowdown tempers expectations after higher March volumes around 25-30 per day, but keeps the market tight amid Musk's history of viral spikes tied to Tesla announcements like the Model S/X production end or AI controversies. Key differentiators include weekend posting upticks, potential responses to breaking news on X algorithm tweaks or crypto scams, and overall engagement momentum; sustained pace favors lower bins, while any cultural flare-up could push toward 90+. April 5-6 updates will be pivotal swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour65-89 39%
40-64 36%
90-114 19%
115-139 3.6%
$517,710 Vol.
$517,710 Vol.
6 avr. 2026
<40
2%
40-64
36%
65-89
39%
90-114
19%
115-139
4%
140-164
1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 36%
90-114 19%
115-139 3.6%
$517,710 Vol.
$517,710 Vol.
6 avr. 2026
<40
$114,399 Vol.
2%
40-64
$45,450 Vol.
36%
65-89
$20,265 Vol.
39%
90-114
$26,454 Vol.
19%
115-139
$33,922 Vol.
4%
140-164
$39,809 Vol.
1%
165-189
$37,085 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$62,536 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$65,358 Vol.
<1%
240+
$72,650 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 65-89 tweets (37.5%) and 40-64 (35.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, driven by his subdued April 4 output of just 12—a sharp drop from his recent 25-post daily average tracked via X analytics. This early slowdown tempers expectations after higher March volumes around 25-30 per day, but keeps the market tight amid Musk's history of viral spikes tied to Tesla announcements like the Model S/X production end or AI controversies. Key differentiators include weekend posting upticks, potential responses to breaking news on X algorithm tweaks or crypto scams, and overall engagement momentum; sustained pace favors lower bins, while any cultural flare-up could push toward 90+. April 5-6 updates will be pivotal swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volume
$517,710Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 65-89 tweets (37.5%) and 40-64 (35.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, driven by his subdued April 4 output of just 12—a sharp drop from his recent 25-post daily average tracked via X analytics. This early slowdown tempers expectations after higher March volumes around 25-30 per day, but keeps the market tight amid Musk's history of viral spikes tied to Tesla announcements like the Model S/X production end or AI controversies. Key differentiators include weekend posting upticks, potential responses to breaking news on X algorithm tweaks or crypto scams, and overall engagement momentum; sustained pace favors lower bins, while any cultural flare-up could push toward 90+. April 5-6 updates will be pivotal swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$517,710Date de fin
6 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 65-89 tweets (37.5%) and 40-64 (35.5%) for Elon Musk's X posts from April 4-6, driven by his subdued April 4 output of just 12—a sharp drop from his recent 25-post daily average tracked via X analytics. This early slowdown tempers expectations after higher March volumes around 25-30 per day, but keeps the market tight amid Musk's history of viral spikes tied to Tesla announcements like the Model S/X production end or AI controversies. Key differentiators include weekend posting upticks, potential responses to breaking news on X algorithm tweaks or crypto scams, and overall engagement momentum; sustained pace favors lower bins, while any cultural flare-up could push toward 90+. April 5-6 updates will be pivotal swing factors.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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