Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 240-319 tweets from April 7-14 at over 52% combined implied probability, with 260-279 and 280-299 ranges tied at 13.5% apiece amid razor-thin margins over 240-259 and 300-319 at 12.5% each. This tight clustering stems from recent weekly resolutions—March 24-31 at 220-239 tweets and March 27-April 3 near 277—yielding daily averages of 28-35 posts despite wild swings from single-digit lulls to 60+ bursts tied to Tesla updates, SpaceX buzz, or political commentary. Volatility in Musk's posting rhythm, fueled by breaking news cycles and his multitasking across X, Tesla, and DOGE, keeps outcomes competitive, with traders eyeing upcoming company announcements or viral moments as potential swing factors before the April 14 cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour260-279 14%
280-299 14%
240-259 13%
300-319 13%
$374,387 Vol.
$374,387 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
9%
240-259
13%
260-279
14%
280-299
14%
300-319
13%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
6%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 14%
280-299 14%
240-259 13%
300-319 13%
$374,387 Vol.
$374,387 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
9%
240-259
13%
260-279
14%
280-299
14%
300-319
13%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
6%
400-419
3%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk posting 240-319 tweets from April 7-14 at over 52% combined implied probability, with 260-279 and 280-299 ranges tied at 13.5% apiece amid razor-thin margins over 240-259 and 300-319 at 12.5% each. This tight clustering stems from recent weekly resolutions—March 24-31 at 220-239 tweets and March 27-April 3 near 277—yielding daily averages of 28-35 posts despite wild swings from single-digit lulls to 60+ bursts tied to Tesla updates, SpaceX buzz, or political commentary. Volatility in Musk's posting rhythm, fueled by breaking news cycles and his multitasking across X, Tesla, and DOGE, keeps outcomes competitive, with traders eyeing upcoming company announcements or viral moments as potential swing factors before the April 14 cutoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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