Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain skepticism about GTA VI launching before June 2026, with "No" commanding 97.4% implied probability, driven by Rockstar Games' storied history of delays—RDR2 slipped multiple times before its 2018 release—and persistent silence on specifics like a second trailer or preorder details since the December 2023 announcement. Take-Two Interactive's repeated Fall 2025 guidance in recent earnings calls (most notably November 2024) has failed to quell doubts amid no marketing ramp-up or firm date, leaving room for fiscal slippage into Take-Two's FY26. Realistic upsets could include a surprise Trailer 2 dropping with a confirmed 2025 window or early preorders, potentially sparking rapid "Yes" momentum as the release horizon nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGTA VI sorti avant juin 2026 ?
GTA VI sorti avant juin 2026 ?
Oui
$12,854,250 Vol.
$12,854,250 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Oui
$12,854,250 Vol.
$12,854,250 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Marché ouvert : May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ET
Volume
$12,854,250Date de fin
May 31, 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Volume
$12,854,288Date de fin
May 31, 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain skepticism about GTA VI launching before June 2026, with "No" commanding 97.4% implied probability, driven by Rockstar Games' storied history of delays—RDR2 slipped multiple times before its 2018 release—and persistent silence on specifics like a second trailer or preorder details since the December 2023 announcement. Take-Two Interactive's repeated Fall 2025 guidance in recent earnings calls (most notably November 2024) has failed to quell doubts amid no marketing ramp-up or firm date, leaving room for fiscal slippage into Take-Two's FY26. Realistic upsets could include a surprise Trailer 2 dropping with a confirmed 2025 window or early preorders, potentially sparking rapid "Yes" momentum as the release horizon nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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