Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached near-certainty at 97.4% implied probability for "No" on GTA VI releasing before June 2026, driven primarily by Rockstar Games' storied history of delays on tentpole titles—GTA V slipped two years from its initial target, while Red Dead Redemption 2 shifted five months amid polish demands—and a 12-month drought of updates since the December 2023 trailer. Take-Two Interactive's repeated Fall 2025 affirmations (most recently November 2024 earnings) are overshadowed by unverified insider reports of scope creep and crunch concerns fueling delay speculation. Realistic upsets hinge on a surprise second trailer locking an early date or accelerated development signals, though the massive open-world ambitions make a pre-June 2026 launch a long shot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGTA VI sorti avant juin 2026 ?
GTA VI sorti avant juin 2026 ?
Oui
$12,853,904 Vol.
$12,853,904 Vol.
May 31, 2026
Oui
$12,853,904 Vol.
$12,853,904 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Marché ouvert : May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ET
Volume
$12,853,904Date de fin
May 31, 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Volume
$12,853,904Date de fin
May 31, 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2025, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Trader consensus on Polymarket has reached near-certainty at 97.4% implied probability for "No" on GTA VI releasing before June 2026, driven primarily by Rockstar Games' storied history of delays on tentpole titles—GTA V slipped two years from its initial target, while Red Dead Redemption 2 shifted five months amid polish demands—and a 12-month drought of updates since the December 2023 trailer. Take-Two Interactive's repeated Fall 2025 affirmations (most recently November 2024 earnings) are overshadowed by unverified insider reports of scope creep and crunch concerns fueling delay speculation. Realistic upsets hinge on a surprise second trailer locking an early date or accelerated development signals, though the massive open-world ambitions make a pre-June 2026 launch a long shot.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes