Traders heavily favor 75–76 million views (73.5% implied probability) for the next MrBeast video on day 5, reflecting his consistent YouTube dominance where recent long-form challenges like "$1 vs $250,000,000 Private Island!" (uploaded Nov 2) hit 62 million views by day 3, aligning with historical day-5 trajectories of 74–78 million for top performers such as "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" and "50 YouTubers Fight For $1,000,000." Steady growth from algorithmic boosts, 380-million subscriber base, and viral thumbnail strategies underpin this consensus, while muted hype amid Beast Games contestant lawsuits caps upside potential beyond 77 million (traders assign just 21.5% combined). Day 5 locks November 7; late surges from Shorts cross-promotion or social buzz could shift odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# of views of next MrBeast video day 5?
# of views of next MrBeast video day 5?
75–76M 73.5%
76–77M 18%
<75M 3.9%
77–78M 2.8%
$386,172 Vol.
$386,172 Vol.
<75M
4%
75–76M
74%
76–77M
18%
77–78M
3%
78–79M
1%
79–80M
1%
80M+
1%
75–76M 73.5%
76–77M 18%
<75M 3.9%
77–78M 2.8%
$386,172 Vol.
$386,172 Vol.
<75M
4%
75–76M
74%
76–77M
18%
77–78M
3%
78–79M
1%
79–80M
1%
80M+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor 75–76 million views (73.5% implied probability) for the next MrBeast video on day 5, reflecting his consistent YouTube dominance where recent long-form challenges like "$1 vs $250,000,000 Private Island!" (uploaded Nov 2) hit 62 million views by day 3, aligning with historical day-5 trajectories of 74–78 million for top performers such as "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!" and "50 YouTubers Fight For $1,000,000." Steady growth from algorithmic boosts, 380-million subscriber base, and viral thumbnail strategies underpin this consensus, while muted hype amid Beast Games contestant lawsuits caps upside potential beyond 77 million (traders assign just 21.5% combined). Day 5 locks November 7; late surges from Shorts cross-promotion or social buzz could shift odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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