Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for a MrBeast main channel video reaching 100 million YouTube views in its first week by March 31, driven by the latest upload "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting just 80.5 million views after exactly seven days since its March 21 premiere. This aligns with granular Polymarket ladders pricing 80-83 million total week-one views, reflecting a familiar trajectory for MrBeast's high-stakes survival challenges amid steady but non-explosive streaming momentum and competition from his own backlog. Day-one buzz peaked at 36 million views, but daily gains tapered, consistent with recent patterns where even frontrunners like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" needed two weeks for 105 million. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop before March 31 igniting viral frenzy—unlikely given his weekly schedule—or ambiguous resolution criteria, though skin-in-the-game traders see negligible risk as the window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour100 millions de vues sur une vidéo MrBeast dans la première semaine d'ici le 31 mars ?
100 millions de vues sur une vidéo MrBeast dans la première semaine d'ici le 31 mars ?
Oui
$144,903 Vol.
$144,903 Vol.
Oui
$144,903 Vol.
$144,903 Vol.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Marché ouvert : Dec 23, 2025, 4:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.6% implied probability for a MrBeast main channel video reaching 100 million YouTube views in its first week by March 31, driven by the latest upload "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" hitting just 80.5 million views after exactly seven days since its March 21 premiere. This aligns with granular Polymarket ladders pricing 80-83 million total week-one views, reflecting a familiar trajectory for MrBeast's high-stakes survival challenges amid steady but non-explosive streaming momentum and competition from his own backlog. Day-one buzz peaked at 36 million views, but daily gains tapered, consistent with recent patterns where even frontrunners like "Survive 30 Days Stranded With Your Ex" needed two weeks for 105 million. Realistic upsets hinge on an surprise drop before March 31 igniting viral frenzy—unlikely given his weekly schedule—or ambiguous resolution criteria, though skin-in-the-game traders see negligible risk as the window closes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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