Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's consistent X posting rhythm, with recent resolved markets like March 20-27 settling at 260-279 posts—averaging 33 per day—and a slight dip to around 29 daily in late March amid quieter news cycles. This clusters implied probabilities tightly around 240-319 for April 3-10, as no major catalysts like Tesla earnings or SpaceX launches are confirmed yet, though a late-April Roadster unveil could build early hype. Competitive dynamics hinge on unpredictable spikes from viral controversies, Neuralink updates, or political commentary, which historically swing volumes 20-50% above baseline; traders weigh his baseline 30-40 daily engagement against potential quiet periods or meme-driven surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour240-259 12%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
220-239 11%
NOUVEAU
$231,897 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$231,897 Vol.
10 avr. 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
4%
200-219
8%
220-239
11%
240-259
12%
260-279
12%
280-299
12%
300-319
11%
320-339
8%
340-359
7%
360-379
6%
380-399
5%
400-419
3%
420-439
3%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 12%
260-279 12%
280-299 12%
220-239 11%
NOUVEAU
$231,897 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$231,897 Vol.
10 avr. 2026
<20
$33,736 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$14,659 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$23,089 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$22,272 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$34,905 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$5,233 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$7,125 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$4,429 Vol.
1%
160-179
$5,976 Vol.
2%
180-199
$4,387 Vol.
4%
200-219
$3,697 Vol.
8%
220-239
$5,346 Vol.
11%
240-259
$4,323 Vol.
12%
260-279
$5,273 Vol.
12%
280-299
$3,038 Vol.
12%
300-319
$4,316 Vol.
11%
320-339
$4,143 Vol.
8%
340-359
$2,348 Vol.
7%
360-379
$2,590 Vol.
6%
380-399
$2,897 Vol.
5%
400-419
$4,849 Vol.
3%
420-439
$3,131 Vol.
3%
440-459
$2,219 Vol.
1%
460-479
$2,922 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$2,751 Vol.
1%
500-519
$5,036 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$5,115 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$4,100 Vol.
<1%
580+
$5,381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's consistent X posting rhythm, with recent resolved markets like March 20-27 settling at 260-279 posts—averaging 33 per day—and a slight dip to around 29 daily in late March amid quieter news cycles. This clusters implied probabilities tightly around 240-319 for April 3-10, as no major catalysts like Tesla earnings or SpaceX launches are confirmed yet, though a late-April Roadster unveil could build early hype. Competitive dynamics hinge on unpredictable spikes from viral controversies, Neuralink updates, or political commentary, which historically swing volumes 20-50% above baseline; traders weigh his baseline 30-40 daily engagement against potential quiet periods or meme-driven surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$231,897Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's consistent X posting rhythm, with recent resolved markets like March 20-27 settling at 260-279 posts—averaging 33 per day—and a slight dip to around 29 daily in late March amid quieter news cycles. This clusters implied probabilities tightly around 240-319 for April 3-10, as no major catalysts like Tesla earnings or SpaceX launches are confirmed yet, though a late-April Roadster unveil could build early hype. Competitive dynamics hinge on unpredictable spikes from viral controversies, Neuralink updates, or political commentary, which historically swing volumes 20-50% above baseline; traders weigh his baseline 30-40 daily engagement against potential quiet periods or meme-driven surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$231,897Date de fin
10 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's consistent X posting rhythm, with recent resolved markets like March 20-27 settling at 260-279 posts—averaging 33 per day—and a slight dip to around 29 daily in late March amid quieter news cycles. This clusters implied probabilities tightly around 240-319 for April 3-10, as no major catalysts like Tesla earnings or SpaceX launches are confirmed yet, though a late-April Roadster unveil could build early hype. Competitive dynamics hinge on unpredictable spikes from viral controversies, Neuralink updates, or political commentary, which historically swing volumes 20-50% above baseline; traders weigh his baseline 30-40 daily engagement against potential quiet periods or meme-driven surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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