Trader consensus on Ye's 'Bully' first-week album-equivalent units remains tightly contested, with the 225k-250k bin leading at a modest 25% implied probability amid strong but uncertain streaming momentum. The album's March 28 release delivered 33M+ Spotify streams on day one—2026's third-biggest rap debut despite a six-hour tracking delay—bolstered by sold-out signed vinyls and core fan physicals, yet traders factor in downside from Ye's polarizing controversies, minimal radio airplay, no major label backing, and multiple rollout delays. Pre-release Hits Daily Double forecasts pegged 250k-275k total units (around 100k pure sales), but historical precedent like Vultures' sub-200k debuts tempers upside; watch midweek HDD updates and final Billboard chart for stream-to-unit conversion swings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourKanye West 'BULLY' Première semaine de ventes d'albums ? (Déclenchements inférieurs)
Kanye West 'BULLY' Première semaine de ventes d'albums ? (Déclenchements inférieurs)
200k-225k 37%
175k-200k 35%
225k-250k 24%
150k-175k 23%
<150k
19%
150k-175k
23%
175k-200k
21%
200k-225k
22%
225k-250k
24%
250k-275k
16%
275k-300k
17%
300k+
10%
200k-225k 37%
175k-200k 35%
225k-250k 24%
150k-175k 23%
<150k
19%
150k-175k
23%
175k-200k
21%
200k-225k
22%
225k-250k
24%
250k-275k
16%
275k-300k
17%
300k+
10%
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Kanye West's album 'BULLY', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'BULLY' has not been released by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ye's 'Bully' first-week album-equivalent units remains tightly contested, with the 225k-250k bin leading at a modest 25% implied probability amid strong but uncertain streaming momentum. The album's March 28 release delivered 33M+ Spotify streams on day one—2026's third-biggest rap debut despite a six-hour tracking delay—bolstered by sold-out signed vinyls and core fan physicals, yet traders factor in downside from Ye's polarizing controversies, minimal radio airplay, no major label backing, and multiple rollout delays. Pre-release Hits Daily Double forecasts pegged 250k-275k total units (around 100k pure sales), but historical precedent like Vultures' sub-200k debuts tempers upside; watch midweek HDD updates and final Billboard chart for stream-to-unit conversion swings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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