Trader consensus favors BTS's Arirang at 58.5% implied probability to hold the Billboard 200 summit for the April 11 chart week, propelled by its blockbuster 641,000-unit debut last frame—the year's largest—fueled by fervent ARMY streaming, vinyl sales, and global pre-orders following the group's full reunion release on March 20. Kanye's surprise Bully drop on March 28 commands 35.5%, with Hits Daily Double projecting 250,000–275,000 first-week units from strong pure sales and all 18 tracks eyeing Hot 100 debuts amid hip-hop buzz. Holdovers like Morgan Wallen's One Thing at a Time fade below 1%, as second-week drops and limited competition define this tight race; watch final Luminate data before Sunday's reveal.