Market icon

Combien d'albums atteindront le Billboard #1 en 2026 ?

Market icon

Combien d'albums atteindront le Billboard #1 en 2026 ?

25+ 43%

16–18 20%

19–21 3%

13–15 2%

Polymarket
NEW

25+ 43%

16–18 20%

19–21 3%

13–15 2%

Polymarket
NEW

10–12

$1,523 Vol.

24%

13–15

$0 Vol.

2%

16–18

$0 Vol.

20%

19–21

$0 Vol.

3%

22–24

$3,369 Vol.

2%

25+

$0 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot. Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists. Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. All officially published Billboard 200 Albums charts will be treated as final. Revisions made after the release of a Billboard 200 album chart will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart, published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/ and through other official Billboard channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting on albums that reached number 1 on the Billboard 200 within this market's timeframe may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 25 or more albums reaching Billboard 200 #1 in 2026 at 44% implied probability, reflecting the record-shattering pace of recent years—27 in 2023 and already 24 in 2024 through mid-October, fueled by streaming surges, viral TikTok moments, and strategic fan-mobilized debuts from artists like Taylor Swift, Sabrina Carpenter, and K-pop groups. The 10–12 range at 25.2% captures bets on potential consolidation amid fewer blockbuster tours or release delays, while 19–21 and 22–24 bins (both 23%) hedge the middle ground. Recent chart toppers like Post Malone's F-1 Trillion and Lady Gaga's tandem releases underscore sustained momentum from diverse genres, though 2026's full slate remains speculative with key drops likely accelerating in Q1–Q2. Watch upcoming holiday sales and early 2025 trajectories for shifts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 25 or more albums reaching Billboard 200 #1 in 2026 at 44% implied probability, reflecting the record-shattering pace of recent years—27 in 2023 and already 24 in 2024 through mid-October, fueled by streaming surges, viral TikTok moments, and strategic fan-mobilized debuts from artists like Taylor Swift, Sabrina Carpenter, and K-pop groups. The 10–12 range at 25.2% captures bets on potential consolidation amid fewer blockbuster tours or release delays, while 19–21 and 22–24 bins (both 23%) hedge the middle ground. Recent chart toppers like Post Malone's F-1 Trillion and Lady Gaga's tandem releases underscore sustained momentum from diverse genres, though 2026's full slate remains speculative with key drops likely accelerating in Q1–Q2. Watch upcoming holiday sales and early 2025 trajectories for shifts.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve according to the number of albums that are ranked number 1 on any official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Each specific album may only count once, regardless of the number times it reaches the number 1 spot. Different editions of the same album will be considered to be different specific albums if they contain different tracklists. Billboard updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard 200 album chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. All officially published Billboard 200 Albums charts will be treated as final. Revisions made after the release of a Billboard 200 album chart will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official weekly Billboard 200 albums chart, published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/ and through other official Billboard channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting on albums that reached number 1 on the Billboard 200 within this market's timeframe may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 25 or more albums reaching Billboard 200 #1 in 2026 at 44% implied probability, reflecting the record-shattering pace of recent years—27 in 2023 and already 24 in 2024 through mid-October, fueled by streaming surges, viral TikTok moments, and strategic fan-mobilized debuts from artists like Taylor Swift, Sabrina Carpenter, and K-pop groups. The 10–12 range at 25.2% captures bets on potential consolidation amid fewer blockbuster tours or release delays, while 19–21 and 22–24 bins (both 23%) hedge the middle ground. Recent chart toppers like Post Malone's F-1 Trillion and Lady Gaga's tandem releases underscore sustained momentum from diverse genres, though 2026's full slate remains speculative with key drops likely accelerating in Q1–Q2. Watch upcoming holiday sales and early 2025 trajectories for shifts.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 25 or more albums reaching Billboard 200 #1 in 2026 at 44% implied probability, reflecting the record-shattering pace of recent years—27 in 2023 and already 24 in 2024 through mid-October, fueled by streaming surges, viral TikTok moments, and strategic fan-mobilized debuts from artists like Taylor Swift, Sabrina Carpenter, and K-pop groups. The 10–12 range at 25.2% captures bets on potential consolidation amid fewer blockbuster tours or release delays, while 19–21 and 22–24 bins (both 23%) hedge the middle ground. Recent chart toppers like Post Malone's F-1 Trillion and Lady Gaga's tandem releases underscore sustained momentum from diverse genres, though 2026's full slate remains speculative with key drops likely accelerating in Q1–Q2. Watch upcoming holiday sales and early 2025 trajectories for shifts.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Combien d'albums atteindront le Billboard #1 en 2026 ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 25+ » à 43%, suivi de « 10–12 » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 43¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Combien d'albums atteindront le Billboard #1 en 2026 ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jan 13, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Combien d'albums atteindront le Billboard #1 en 2026 ? », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Combien d'albums atteindront le Billboard #1 en 2026 ? » est « 25+ » à 43%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 43% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 10–12 » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Combien d'albums atteindront le Billboard #1 en 2026 ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.