Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 19°C or higher in Wuhan on March 24, driven by ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS projecting daytime peaks of 22-25°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly flows. Official observations from nearby stations confirm recent spring-like warming, with March historical maxima averaging 16-18°C but trending upward amid broader East Asian heat anomalies. This positioning aligns with low forecast uncertainty at short lead times, as verified by China Meteorological Administration updates. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front intrusion or localized measurement discrepancies at Hankou Airport, though probabilities remain below 1% per model spreads.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 24 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 24 mars ?
19°C ou plus 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$36,466 Vol.
$36,466 Vol.
9°C ou moins
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C ou plus
Oui
19°C ou plus 100.0%
9°C ou moins <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$36,466 Vol.
$36,466 Vol.
9°C ou moins
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C ou plus
Oui
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 19°C or higher in Wuhan on March 24, driven by ensemble weather models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and GFS projecting daytime peaks of 22-25°C under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and mild southerly flows. Official observations from nearby stations confirm recent spring-like warming, with March historical maxima averaging 16-18°C but trending upward amid broader East Asian heat anomalies. This positioning aligns with low forecast uncertainty at short lead times, as verified by China Meteorological Administration updates. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front intrusion or localized measurement discrepancies at Hankou Airport, though probabilities remain below 1% per model spreads.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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