Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal system ushering in moisture and instability during the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend (April 3–6). Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance projects daytime highs near 25°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, capping potential peaks via increased cloud cover and precipitation. Recent hotter-than-normal early April weather, exceeding 30°C on April 2, contrasts with this cooling influence, while long-term models like those on world-weather.info suggest 27°C possibilities if the front delays. Historical April averages hover at 25–26°C; daily CWA updates through April 4 will clarify model consensus on frontal timing, differentiating outcomes around the tightly matched 26–28°C cluster.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
26°C 25%
27°C 25%
28°C 16%
29°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
22°C or below
5%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
6%
26°C 25%
27°C 25%
28°C 16%
29°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 avr. 2026
22°C or below
$38 Vol.
5%
23°C
$31 Vol.
7%
24°C
$108 Vol.
9%
25°C
$29 Vol.
10%
26°C
$39 Vol.
25%
27°C
$62 Vol.
25%
28°C
$68 Vol.
18%
29°C
$29 Vol.
14%
30°C
$29 Vol.
6%
31°C
$26 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$106 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal system ushering in moisture and instability during the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend (April 3–6). Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance projects daytime highs near 25°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, capping potential peaks via increased cloud cover and precipitation. Recent hotter-than-normal early April weather, exceeding 30°C on April 2, contrasts with this cooling influence, while long-term models like those on world-weather.info suggest 27°C possibilities if the front delays. Historical April averages hover at 25–26°C; daily CWA updates through April 4 will clarify model consensus on frontal timing, differentiating outcomes around the tightly matched 26–28°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$565Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal system ushering in moisture and instability during the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend (April 3–6). Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance projects daytime highs near 25°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, capping potential peaks via increased cloud cover and precipitation. Recent hotter-than-normal early April weather, exceeding 30°C on April 2, contrasts with this cooling influence, while long-term models like those on world-weather.info suggest 27°C possibilities if the front delays. Historical April averages hover at 25–26°C; daily CWA updates through April 4 will clarify model consensus on frontal timing, differentiating outcomes around the tightly matched 26–28°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$565Date de fin
5 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Taipei's highest temperature on April 5, driven by an approaching frontal system ushering in moisture and instability during the Tomb Sweeping holiday weekend (April 3–6). Central Weather Administration (CWA) guidance projects daytime highs near 25°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers or thunderstorms, capping potential peaks via increased cloud cover and precipitation. Recent hotter-than-normal early April weather, exceeding 30°C on April 2, contrasts with this cooling influence, while long-term models like those on world-weather.info suggest 27°C possibilities if the front delays. Historical April averages hover at 25–26°C; daily CWA updates through April 4 will clarify model consensus on frontal timing, differentiating outcomes around the tightly matched 26–28°C cluster.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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