Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's daytime high of 20-22°C on April 1 amid a sharp cooling trend from late March peaks near 29°C, as frontal moisture streaming from southern China increases cloud cover and curbs solar insolation. This positions trader-implied probabilities tightly around 20-23°C, with 21°C slightly ahead due to recent observations like March 28's 21°C peak and model consensus on mostly cloudy conditions with showers. Differentiating factors include forecast model discrepancies—GFS and ECMWF variants—over exact frontal timing: persistent overcast favors 20°C, while brief afternoon clearing could push toward 23°C. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs, but current East Asian monsoon influences heighten uncertainty; watch daily CWA updates for refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
23°C 29%
22°C 27%
21°C 22%
20°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
14%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
27%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
7%
23°C 29%
22°C 27%
21°C 22%
20°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
15°C or below
$2,067 Vol.
2%
16°C
$377 Vol.
4%
17°C
$161 Vol.
4%
18°C
$97 Vol.
9%
19°C
$88 Vol.
14%
20°C
$111 Vol.
22%
21°C
$99 Vol.
28%
22°C
$204 Vol.
27%
23°C
$238 Vol.
29%
24°C
$156 Vol.
14%
25°C or higher
$432 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's daytime high of 20-22°C on April 1 amid a sharp cooling trend from late March peaks near 29°C, as frontal moisture streaming from southern China increases cloud cover and curbs solar insolation. This positions trader-implied probabilities tightly around 20-23°C, with 21°C slightly ahead due to recent observations like March 28's 21°C peak and model consensus on mostly cloudy conditions with showers. Differentiating factors include forecast model discrepancies—GFS and ECMWF variants—over exact frontal timing: persistent overcast favors 20°C, while brief afternoon clearing could push toward 23°C. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs, but current East Asian monsoon influences heighten uncertainty; watch daily CWA updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$3,967Date de fin
Apr 1, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's daytime high of 20-22°C on April 1 amid a sharp cooling trend from late March peaks near 29°C, as frontal moisture streaming from southern China increases cloud cover and curbs solar insolation. This positions trader-implied probabilities tightly around 20-23°C, with 21°C slightly ahead due to recent observations like March 28's 21°C peak and model consensus on mostly cloudy conditions with showers. Differentiating factors include forecast model discrepancies—GFS and ECMWF variants—over exact frontal timing: persistent overcast favors 20°C, while brief afternoon clearing could push toward 23°C. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs, but current East Asian monsoon influences heighten uncertainty; watch daily CWA updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,967Date de fin
Apr 1, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's daytime high of 20-22°C on April 1 amid a sharp cooling trend from late March peaks near 29°C, as frontal moisture streaming from southern China increases cloud cover and curbs solar insolation. This positions trader-implied probabilities tightly around 20-23°C, with 21°C slightly ahead due to recent observations like March 28's 21°C peak and model consensus on mostly cloudy conditions with showers. Differentiating factors include forecast model discrepancies—GFS and ECMWF variants—over exact frontal timing: persistent overcast favors 20°C, while brief afternoon clearing could push toward 23°C. Early April climatology averages 23°C highs, but current East Asian monsoon influences heighten uncertainty; watch daily CWA updates for refinements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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