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Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

25°C or below 26%

28°C 21%

27°C 21%

29°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,100 Vol.

25°C or below 26%

28°C 21%

27°C 21%

29°C 19%

Polymarket
NEW

$11,100 Vol.

25°C or below

$4,069 Vol.

23%

26°C

$1,097 Vol.

14%

27°C

$830 Vol.

21%

28°C

$1,062 Vol.

21%

29°C

$913 Vol.

19%

30°C

$1,062 Vol.

2%

31°C

$471 Vol.

1%

32°C

$558 Vol.

<1%

33°C

$380 Vol.

1%

34°C

$399 Vol.

<1%

35°C or higher

$582 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei highs of 21–29°C under mostly clear skies with a low 10% chance of precipitation, yet trader consensus favors 25°C or below at 37% implied probability, driven by early morning overcast conditions near 18°C at Songshan Airport and an approaching frontal system introducing mid-afternoon cloudiness that could suppress solar heating. Late March climatology typically sees highs around 23–24°C, with current southerly airflow providing mild warmth but partial cloud cover limiting peaks, as reflected in secondary odds for 28°C (22.5%) and 27°C (18%). Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to intraday variability; key updates from CWA hourly models and real-time observations will refine the peak temperature before evening resolution based on official station data.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei highs of 21–29°C under mostly clear skies with a low 10% chance of precipitation, yet trader consensus favors 25°C or below at 37% implied probability, driven by early morning overcast conditions near 18°C at Songshan Airport and an approaching frontal system introducing mid-afternoon cloudiness that could suppress solar heating. Late March climatology typically sees highs around 23–24°C, with current southerly airflow providing mild warmth but partial cloud cover limiting peaks, as reflected in secondary odds for 28°C (22.5%) and 27°C (18%). Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to intraday variability; key updates from CWA hourly models and real-time observations will refine the peak temperature before evening resolution based on official station data.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei highs of 21–29°C under mostly clear skies with a low 10% chance of precipitation, yet trader consensus favors 25°C or below at 37% implied probability, driven by early morning overcast conditions near 18°C at Songshan Airport and an approaching frontal system introducing mid-afternoon cloudiness that could suppress solar heating. Late March climatology typically sees highs around 23–24°C, with current southerly airflow providing mild warmth but partial cloud cover limiting peaks, as reflected in secondary odds for 28°C (22.5%) and 27°C (18%). Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to intraday variability; key updates from CWA hourly models and real-time observations will refine the peak temperature before evening resolution based on official station data.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for March 30 projects Taipei highs of 21–29°C under mostly clear skies with a low 10% chance of precipitation, yet trader consensus favors 25°C or below at 37% implied probability, driven by early morning overcast conditions near 18°C at Songshan Airport and an approaching frontal system introducing mid-afternoon cloudiness that could suppress solar heating. Late March climatology typically sees highs around 23–24°C, with current southerly airflow providing mild warmth but partial cloud cover limiting peaks, as reflected in secondary odds for 28°C (22.5%) and 27°C (18%). Inherent forecast uncertainty persists due to intraday variability; key updates from CWA hourly models and real-time observations will refine the peak temperature before evening resolution based on official station data.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 25°C or below » à 23%, suivi de « 27°C » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 23¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30? » a généré $11.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30? » est « 25°C or below » à 23%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 27°C » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Taipei on March 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.