Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast points to Seoul's high temperature clustering around 16–18°C on March 30 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and a 30% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 16°C (27.5% implied probability) and 17°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include cloud cover suppressing peak heating to 15–16°C in ECMWF model runs versus clearer midday breaks allowing 17–18°C per KMA and GFS guidance, amid southerly air advection moderating typical late-March averages of 12–13°C. Inherent uncertainty in diurnal cycles and precip timing keeps 15°C viable at 16.4%, with hourly observations from Gimpo station and end-of-day KMA reports poised to resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30?
16°C 29%
17°C 26%
18°C 18%
15°C 16.6%
$69,350 Vol.
$69,350 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
13%
15°C
17%
16°C
29%
17°C
26%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
16°C 29%
17°C 26%
18°C 18%
15°C 16.6%
$69,350 Vol.
$69,350 Vol.
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
13%
15°C
17%
16°C
29%
17°C
26%
18°C
18%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast points to Seoul's high temperature clustering around 16–18°C on March 30 under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and a 30% chance of showers, driving trader consensus toward 16°C (27.5% implied probability) and 17°C (23.5%). Differentiating factors include cloud cover suppressing peak heating to 15–16°C in ECMWF model runs versus clearer midday breaks allowing 17–18°C per KMA and GFS guidance, amid southerly air advection moderating typical late-March averages of 12–13°C. Inherent uncertainty in diurnal cycles and precip timing keeps 15°C viable at 16.4%, with hourly observations from Gimpo station and end-of-day KMA reports poised to resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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