National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on March 29 indicate a daytime high near 83°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains, fueling warm southerly winds and daytime heating that cluster trader-implied probabilities tightly around the 80-85°F range, with 80-81°F (23.5%) and 84-85°F (22.5%) leading amid model spread. Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs show consensus for upper 70s to mid-80s peaks, differentiated by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cumulus cloud cover, and low-level moisture advection, which could shave 2-3°F off peaks or allow slight intensification. Climatological March norms hover in the mid-60s, but this setup echoes recent warm anomalies; resolution hinges on official DFW airport observations as new hourly data emerges through the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Dallas le 29 mars ?
Température la plus élevée à Dallas le 29 mars ?
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 23%
78-79°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
73°F ou moins
1%
74-75 °F
5%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
23%
86-87 °F
11%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
2%
92°F ou plus
2%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 23%
78-79°F 20%
82-83°F 19%
73°F ou moins
1%
74-75 °F
5%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
23%
86-87 °F
11%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
2%
92°F ou plus
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on March 29 indicate a daytime high near 83°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains, fueling warm southerly winds and daytime heating that cluster trader-implied probabilities tightly around the 80-85°F range, with 80-81°F (23.5%) and 84-85°F (22.5%) leading amid model spread. Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs show consensus for upper 70s to mid-80s peaks, differentiated by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cumulus cloud cover, and low-level moisture advection, which could shave 2-3°F off peaks or allow slight intensification. Climatological March norms hover in the mid-60s, but this setup echoes recent warm anomalies; resolution hinges on official DFW airport observations as new hourly data emerges through the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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