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Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

14°C 31%

13°C 26%

16°C or higher 19.1%

15°C 18%

Polymarket
NEW

14°C 31%

13°C 26%

16°C or higher 19.1%

15°C 18%

Polymarket
NEW

6°C or below

$171 Vol.

1%

7°C

$167 Vol.

2%

8°C

$5 Vol.

5%

9°C

$1 Vol.

12%

10°C

$0 Vol.

8%

11°C

$2 Vol.

14%

12°C

$0 Vol.

15%

13°C

$12 Vol.

26%

14°C

$6 Vol.

22%

15°C

$1 Vol.

18%

16°C or higher

$123 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 13-16°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds with 13°C at 26% and 16°C or higher at 25%. This reflects genuine uncertainty in early spring synoptic patterns, where divergent model runs hinge on the track of shortwave troughs over the Korean Peninsula—potentially bringing cooler advection from Siberian air masses or allowing highs under weak high-pressure ridging with light southerly flow. Historical early-April maxima average 14°C amid variable cloud cover and frontal passages, but current setups show spread due to differing soil moisture and diurnal heating potential. KMA short-term updates expected April 1 could sharpen trader consensus as resolution nears.

Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 13-16°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds with 13°C at 26% and 16°C or higher at 25%. This reflects genuine uncertainty in early spring synoptic patterns, where divergent model runs hinge on the track of shortwave troughs over the Korean Peninsula—potentially bringing cooler advection from Siberian air masses or allowing highs under weak high-pressure ridging with light southerly flow. Historical early-April maxima average 14°C amid variable cloud cover and frontal passages, but current setups show spread due to differing soil moisture and diurnal heating potential. KMA short-term updates expected April 1 could sharpen trader consensus as resolution nears.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 13-16°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds with 13°C at 26% and 16°C or higher at 25%. This reflects genuine uncertainty in early spring synoptic patterns, where divergent model runs hinge on the track of shortwave troughs over the Korean Peninsula—potentially bringing cooler advection from Siberian air masses or allowing highs under weak high-pressure ridging with light southerly flow. Historical early-April maxima average 14°C amid variable cloud cover and frontal passages, but current setups show spread due to differing soil moisture and diurnal heating potential. KMA short-term updates expected April 1 could sharpen trader consensus as resolution nears.

Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range forecasts and ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Seoul's highest temperature on April 2 clustering around 13-16°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds with 13°C at 26% and 16°C or higher at 25%. This reflects genuine uncertainty in early spring synoptic patterns, where divergent model runs hinge on the track of shortwave troughs over the Korean Peninsula—potentially bringing cooler advection from Siberian air masses or allowing highs under weak high-pressure ridging with light southerly flow. Historical early-April maxima average 14°C amid variable cloud cover and frontal passages, but current setups show spread due to differing soil moisture and diurnal heating potential. KMA short-term updates expected April 1 could sharpen trader consensus as resolution nears.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 13°C » à 26%, suivi de « 16°C or higher » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 26¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 29, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2? » est « 13°C » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 16°C or higher » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Seoul on April 2? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.