Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high temperature of 50-51°F in Seattle on March 29, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast predicting partly cloudy skies with highs near 51°F amid lingering marine layer influence from the Pacific. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 48-53°F, differentiated by subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover and light southerly winds that could suppress peaks below 50°F or allow brief clearing for 52°F+. Recent Pacific Northwest cooling from an upstream trough has compressed diurnal ranges, with climatological March averages near 54°F providing context for the modest implied odds. New hourly guidance expected midday March 29 will refine resolution as observations begin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on March 29?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?
50-51°F 29%
48-49°F 23%
52-53°F 21%
54-55°F 14%
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
5%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
23%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
14%
56°F or higher
5%
50-51°F 29%
48-49°F 23%
52-53°F 21%
54-55°F 14%
37°F or below
1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
2%
42-43°F
5%
44-45°F
5%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
23%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
14%
56°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high temperature of 50-51°F in Seattle on March 29, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast predicting partly cloudy skies with highs near 51°F amid lingering marine layer influence from the Pacific. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 48-53°F, differentiated by subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover and light southerly winds that could suppress peaks below 50°F or allow brief clearing for 52°F+. Recent Pacific Northwest cooling from an upstream trough has compressed diurnal ranges, with climatological March averages near 54°F providing context for the modest implied odds. New hourly guidance expected midday March 29 will refine resolution as observations begin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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