Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance points to an incoming shortwave trough and Pacific front reaching North Texas on April 1, introducing cloud cover, gusty winds, and 20-60% precipitation chances that cap daytime heating in Dallas, with model consensus (GFS, ECMWF ensembles) favoring highs of 74-77°F. This slightly below-normal outcome (monthly April average 76.1°F) tempers the broader Climate Prediction Center outlook for above-normal April temperatures amid a transitioning spring pattern. Trader sentiment clusters probabilities tightly across mid-70s bins due to uncertainty in frontal timing and strength—earlier arrival risks 72°F or cooler via showers, while delay allows potential warmup to 80°F+ under partial clearing. Daily 12Z model updates through March 31 will refine these dynamics ahead of resolution at DFW Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
76-77°F 16%
84°F ou plus 13%
74-75°F 11%
82-83 °F 9%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69 °F
4%
70-71 °F
8%
72-73 °F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
6%
82-83 °F
9%
84°F ou plus
13%
76-77°F 16%
84°F ou plus 13%
74-75°F 11%
82-83 °F 9%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69 °F
4%
70-71 °F
8%
72-73 °F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
6%
82-83 °F
9%
84°F ou plus
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecast guidance points to an incoming shortwave trough and Pacific front reaching North Texas on April 1, introducing cloud cover, gusty winds, and 20-60% precipitation chances that cap daytime heating in Dallas, with model consensus (GFS, ECMWF ensembles) favoring highs of 74-77°F. This slightly below-normal outcome (monthly April average 76.1°F) tempers the broader Climate Prediction Center outlook for above-normal April temperatures amid a transitioning spring pattern. Trader sentiment clusters probabilities tightly across mid-70s bins due to uncertainty in frontal timing and strength—earlier arrival risks 72°F or cooler via showers, while delay allows potential warmup to 80°F+ under partial clearing. Daily 12Z model updates through March 31 will refine these dynamics ahead of resolution at DFW Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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