The Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast pegs Taipei's highest temperature on April 3 at 19–26°C, reflecting trader consensus in closely matched market-implied odds around 23–27°C, driven by an approaching frontal system bringing intermittent showers and thunderstorms that could suppress daytime heating. Current warm conditions (highs near 28°C earlier this week) are transitioning to cooler, unstable weather for the Tomb Sweeping holiday, with partial clearing possible in the afternoon allowing peaks near 26°C if cloud cover lifts. Historical April averages hover at 24°C, but short-range model uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity keeps outcomes competitive; watch for CWA updates tomorrow as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 3?
33°C or higher 40%
26°C 28%
23°C or below 23%
27°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
23°C or below
23%
24°C
18%
25°C
21%
26°C
28%
27°C
22%
28°C
16%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C
13%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
40%
33°C or higher 40%
26°C 28%
23°C or below 23%
27°C 22%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
22%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
12%
33°C or higher
$10 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast pegs Taipei's highest temperature on April 3 at 19–26°C, reflecting trader consensus in closely matched market-implied odds around 23–27°C, driven by an approaching frontal system bringing intermittent showers and thunderstorms that could suppress daytime heating. Current warm conditions (highs near 28°C earlier this week) are transitioning to cooler, unstable weather for the Tomb Sweeping holiday, with partial clearing possible in the afternoon allowing peaks near 26°C if cloud cover lifts. Historical April averages hover at 24°C, but short-range model uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity keeps outcomes competitive; watch for CWA updates tomorrow as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$10Date de fin
Apr 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast pegs Taipei's highest temperature on April 3 at 19–26°C, reflecting trader consensus in closely matched market-implied odds around 23–27°C, driven by an approaching frontal system bringing intermittent showers and thunderstorms that could suppress daytime heating. Current warm conditions (highs near 28°C earlier this week) are transitioning to cooler, unstable weather for the Tomb Sweeping holiday, with partial clearing possible in the afternoon allowing peaks near 26°C if cloud cover lifts. Historical April averages hover at 24°C, but short-range model uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity keeps outcomes competitive; watch for CWA updates tomorrow as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10Date de fin
Apr 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Bureau's latest forecast pegs Taipei's highest temperature on April 3 at 19–26°C, reflecting trader consensus in closely matched market-implied odds around 23–27°C, driven by an approaching frontal system bringing intermittent showers and thunderstorms that could suppress daytime heating. Current warm conditions (highs near 28°C earlier this week) are transitioning to cooler, unstable weather for the Tomb Sweeping holiday, with partial clearing possible in the afternoon allowing peaks near 26°C if cloud cover lifts. Historical April averages hover at 24°C, but short-range model uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity keeps outcomes competitive; watch for CWA updates tomorrow as resolution nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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