Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on March 30, backed by National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data showing a midday peak of 33.7°C at Newton but sustained readings around 33°C at Changi Airport—the official reference station for such metrics. This positioning reflects March's inter-monsoon conditions, featuring warm mornings under light winds followed by afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas, which cap daytime highs through convective cooling and cloud cover. NEA forecasts a maximum of 35°C, but historical analogs and current humidity-driven instability favor no further escalation. A late-afternoon heat burst before showers could challenge this, though resolution awaits NEA's end-of-day climate station summary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Singapore on March 30?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 30?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,770 Vol.
$82,770 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$82,770 Vol.
$82,770 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain 100% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature reaching exactly 33°C on March 30, backed by National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data showing a midday peak of 33.7°C at Newton but sustained readings around 33°C at Changi Airport—the official reference station for such metrics. This positioning reflects March's inter-monsoon conditions, featuring warm mornings under light winds followed by afternoon thundery showers over northern, western, and central areas, which cap daytime highs through convective cooling and cloud cover. NEA forecasts a maximum of 35°C, but historical analogs and current humidity-driven instability favor no further escalation. A late-afternoon heat burst before showers could challenge this, though resolution awaits NEA's end-of-day climate station summary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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