Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early March 31, projects a maximum temperature of 27–28°C on April 1 amid mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and sunny intervals, driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over southern China and east-northeast winds. This follows March 31 highs near 27°C, aligning with spring's above-normal seasonal temperatures. Trader consensus splits closely between 28°C (36.5%) and 27°C (33%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and insolation—fewer showers could boost peaks to 28°C, while persistent overcast favors 27°C—against early April climatology averaging 25°C highs. Watch for afternoon forecast revisions as observations refine model outputs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
28°C 41%
27°C 35%
26°C 23%
25°C 8.6%
$25,153 Vol.
$25,153 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
23%
27°C
36%
28°C
35%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
3%
28°C 41%
27°C 35%
26°C 23%
25°C 8.6%
$25,153 Vol.
$25,153 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
23%
27°C
36%
28°C
35%
29°C
9%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early March 31, projects a maximum temperature of 27–28°C on April 1 amid mainly cloudy conditions with isolated showers and sunny intervals, driven by a lingering trough of low pressure over southern China and east-northeast winds. This follows March 31 highs near 27°C, aligning with spring's above-normal seasonal temperatures. Trader consensus splits closely between 28°C (36.5%) and 27°C (33%), reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and insolation—fewer showers could boost peaks to 28°C, while persistent overcast favors 27°C—against early April climatology averaging 25°C highs. Watch for afternoon forecast revisions as observations refine model outputs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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