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Highest temperature in London on April 1?

Market icon

Highest temperature in London on April 1?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

14°C 36%

15°C 32%

13°C 18%

12°C 9.0%

Polymarket
NEW

$13,555 Vol.

14°C 36%

15°C 32%

13°C 18%

12°C 9.0%

Polymarket
NEW

$13,555 Vol.

11°C or below

$1,851 Vol.

5%

12°C

$2,018 Vol.

9%

13°C

$1,355 Vol.

18%

14°C

$1,376 Vol.

36%

15°C

$1,182 Vol.

32%

16°C

$1,368 Vol.

7%

17°C

$920 Vol.

2%

18°C

$851 Vol.

<1%

19°C

$811 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$905 Vol.

<1%

21°C or higher

$942 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (35.5%) and 15°C (31.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 1, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing maximums of 15°C and 14°C respectively under overcast to light cloud conditions with light north-westerly winds. These align with a building high-pressure ridge bringing drier weather after recent changeable patterns, but northerly airflow risks capping warmth near seasonal averages of 12–13°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast suppressing solar heating for 14°C outcomes, versus partial breaks allowing slight peaks to 15°C—and model ensemble spread in short-range ECMWF and UKMO guidance. New forecast updates expected March 31 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (35.5%) and 15°C (31.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 1, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing maximums of 15°C and 14°C respectively under overcast to light cloud conditions with light north-westerly winds. These align with a building high-pressure ridge bringing drier weather after recent changeable patterns, but northerly airflow risks capping warmth near seasonal averages of 12–13°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast suppressing solar heating for 14°C outcomes, versus partial breaks allowing slight peaks to 15°C—and model ensemble spread in short-range ECMWF and UKMO guidance. New forecast updates expected March 31 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (35.5%) and 15°C (31.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 1, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing maximums of 15°C and 14°C respectively under overcast to light cloud conditions with light north-westerly winds. These align with a building high-pressure ridge bringing drier weather after recent changeable patterns, but northerly airflow risks capping warmth near seasonal averages of 12–13°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast suppressing solar heating for 14°C outcomes, versus partial breaks allowing slight peaks to 15°C—and model ensemble spread in short-range ECMWF and UKMO guidance. New forecast updates expected March 31 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (35.5%) and 15°C (31.5%) as the highest temperature in London on April 1, driven by the latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts showing maximums of 15°C and 14°C respectively under overcast to light cloud conditions with light north-westerly winds. These align with a building high-pressure ridge bringing drier weather after recent changeable patterns, but northerly airflow risks capping warmth near seasonal averages of 12–13°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—thicker overcast suppressing solar heating for 14°C outcomes, versus partial breaks allowing slight peaks to 15°C—and model ensemble spread in short-range ECMWF and UKMO guidance. New forecast updates expected March 31 could refine probabilities as resolution nears.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in London on April 1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 14°C » à 36%, suivi de « 15°C » à 32%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in London on April 1? » a généré $13.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in London on April 1? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in London on April 1? » est « 14°C » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 15°C » à 32%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in London on April 1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.