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Highest temperature in Moscow on March 30?

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Highest temperature in Moscow on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

12°C or higher 98.6%

11°C 1.4%

10°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,019 Vol.

12°C or higher 98.6%

11°C 1.4%

10°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$17,019 Vol.

10°C

$3,552 Vol.

1%

11°C

$349 Vol.

1%

12°C or higher

$1,272 Vol.

99%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 12°C or higher in Moscow today (98.5% implied probability), driven by authoritative forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18°C under clear skies and light winds, corroborated by Gismeteo and Yandex Weather at around 15°C. This positioning stems from a persistent late-March warm spell, with yesterday's high reaching 15°C amid a high-pressure ridge enabling southerly warm air advection—well above the climatological March average high of 3°C. Official observations confirm stable mild conditions, with low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen Arctic air intrusion or thickening cloud cover capping peaks below 12°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; monitor hourly updates from Hydromet stations for resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 12°C or higher in Moscow today (98.5% implied probability), driven by authoritative forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18°C under clear skies and light winds, corroborated by Gismeteo and Yandex Weather at around 15°C. This positioning stems from a persistent late-March warm spell, with yesterday's high reaching 15°C amid a high-pressure ridge enabling southerly warm air advection—well above the climatological March average high of 3°C. Official observations confirm stable mild conditions, with low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen Arctic air intrusion or thickening cloud cover capping peaks below 12°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; monitor hourly updates from Hydromet stations for resolution.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 12°C or higher in Moscow today (98.5% implied probability), driven by authoritative forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18°C under clear skies and light winds, corroborated by Gismeteo and Yandex Weather at around 15°C. This positioning stems from a persistent late-March warm spell, with yesterday's high reaching 15°C amid a high-pressure ridge enabling southerly warm air advection—well above the climatological March average high of 3°C. Official observations confirm stable mild conditions, with low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen Arctic air intrusion or thickening cloud cover capping peaks below 12°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; monitor hourly updates from Hydromet stations for resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 12°C or higher in Moscow today (98.5% implied probability), driven by authoritative forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center projecting a daytime peak of 18°C under clear skies and light winds, corroborated by Gismeteo and Yandex Weather at around 15°C. This positioning stems from a persistent late-March warm spell, with yesterday's high reaching 15°C amid a high-pressure ridge enabling southerly warm air advection—well above the climatological March average high of 3°C. Official observations confirm stable mild conditions, with low precipitation risk. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen Arctic air intrusion or thickening cloud cover capping peaks below 12°C, though model consensus deems this unlikely; monitor hourly updates from Hydromet stations for resolution.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Moscow on March 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 12°C or higher » à 99%, suivi de « 10°C » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Moscow on March 30? » a généré $17K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Moscow on March 30? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Moscow on March 30? » est « 12°C or higher » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 10°C » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Moscow on March 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.