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Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

11°C or higher 83%

3°C 6%

10°C 6%

2°C 5.5%

Polymarket
NEW

11°C or higher 83%

3°C 6%

10°C 6%

2°C 5.5%

Polymarket
NEW

1°C or below

$25 Vol.

5%

2°C

$15 Vol.

6%

3°C

$15 Vol.

6%

4°C

$15 Vol.

8%

5°C

$15 Vol.

9%

6°C

$15 Vol.

10%

7°C

$15 Vol.

13%

8°C

$15 Vol.

8%

9°C

$15 Vol.

14%

10°C

$15 Vol.

12%

11°C or higher

$119 Vol.

83%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to a high of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 3, driven by recent Hydrometcenter of Russia forecasts indicating temperatures exceeding early April climatological averages of about 9°C by 7–8°C under a developing high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow. Late-March observations above 10°C signal a mild continental spring pattern persisting, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering warmer outcomes despite spreads toward 6–10°C from potential jet stream variability or cloud cover. Lower probabilities for cooler readings (e.g., 15.5% at 10°C, 13.5% at 8–9°C) reflect acknowledged forecast uncertainty in volatile early spring conditions. Key updates from NOAA and Russian agencies every 12 hours, plus official Balchug station measurements, will sharpen resolution ahead of the date.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to a high of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 3, driven by recent Hydrometcenter of Russia forecasts indicating temperatures exceeding early April climatological averages of about 9°C by 7–8°C under a developing high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow. Late-March observations above 10°C signal a mild continental spring pattern persisting, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering warmer outcomes despite spreads toward 6–10°C from potential jet stream variability or cloud cover. Lower probabilities for cooler readings (e.g., 15.5% at 10°C, 13.5% at 8–9°C) reflect acknowledged forecast uncertainty in volatile early spring conditions. Key updates from NOAA and Russian agencies every 12 hours, plus official Balchug station measurements, will sharpen resolution ahead of the date.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to a high of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 3, driven by recent Hydrometcenter of Russia forecasts indicating temperatures exceeding early April climatological averages of about 9°C by 7–8°C under a developing high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow. Late-March observations above 10°C signal a mild continental spring pattern persisting, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering warmer outcomes despite spreads toward 6–10°C from potential jet stream variability or cloud cover. Lower probabilities for cooler readings (e.g., 15.5% at 10°C, 13.5% at 8–9°C) reflect acknowledged forecast uncertainty in volatile early spring conditions. Key updates from NOAA and Russian agencies every 12 hours, plus official Balchug station measurements, will sharpen resolution ahead of the date.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to a high of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 3, driven by recent Hydrometcenter of Russia forecasts indicating temperatures exceeding early April climatological averages of about 9°C by 7–8°C under a developing high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow. Late-March observations above 10°C signal a mild continental spring pattern persisting, with ECMWF and GFS ensembles clustering warmer outcomes despite spreads toward 6–10°C from potential jet stream variability or cloud cover. Lower probabilities for cooler readings (e.g., 15.5% at 10°C, 13.5% at 8–9°C) reflect acknowledged forecast uncertainty in volatile early spring conditions. Key updates from NOAA and Russian agencies every 12 hours, plus official Balchug station measurements, will sharpen resolution ahead of the date.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 11°C or higher » à 83%, suivi de « 9°C » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 83¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 29, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3? » est « 11°C or higher » à 83%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 83% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 9°C » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Moscow on April 3? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.