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Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30?

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

Mar 30

Apr 1

Apr 2

Apr 3

20°C 88%

21°C 15.6%

22°C or higher 1.4%

16°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$105,952 Vol.

20°C 88%

21°C 15.6%

22°C or higher 1.4%

16°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$105,952 Vol.

16°C

$13,574 Vol.

<1%

17°C

$12,095 Vol.

<1%

18°C

$10,307 Vol.

<1%

19°C

$30,696 Vol.

<1%

20°C

$6,401 Vol.

88%

21°C

$7,814 Vol.

16%

22°C or higher

$6,737 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tokyo high temperature of 19°C (55.5% implied probability), closely followed by 20°C (37.5%), driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) evening forecast from March 29 projecting exactly 19°C amid cloudy skies turning partly cloudy later, with 20% morning precipitation chance dropping to 10% afternoon. This reflects a mild southerly airflow pattern continuing from March 29's observed 21°C peak, warmer than the late-March climatological average of 14–15°C, boosted by high-pressure ridging. Model consensus shows tight uncertainty around peak afternoon heating, with cloud cover potentially capping intensity below 21°C (8.3%). JMA surface observations will track hourly maxima through evening for final resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tokyo high temperature of 19°C (55.5% implied probability), closely followed by 20°C (37.5%), driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) evening forecast from March 29 projecting exactly 19°C amid cloudy skies turning partly cloudy later, with 20% morning precipitation chance dropping to 10% afternoon. This reflects a mild southerly airflow pattern continuing from March 29's observed 21°C peak, warmer than the late-March climatological average of 14–15°C, boosted by high-pressure ridging. Model consensus shows tight uncertainty around peak afternoon heating, with cloud cover potentially capping intensity below 21°C (8.3%). JMA surface observations will track hourly maxima through evening for final resolution.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tokyo high temperature of 19°C (55.5% implied probability), closely followed by 20°C (37.5%), driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) evening forecast from March 29 projecting exactly 19°C amid cloudy skies turning partly cloudy later, with 20% morning precipitation chance dropping to 10% afternoon. This reflects a mild southerly airflow pattern continuing from March 29's observed 21°C peak, warmer than the late-March climatological average of 14–15°C, boosted by high-pressure ridging. Model consensus shows tight uncertainty around peak afternoon heating, with cloud cover potentially capping intensity below 21°C (8.3%). JMA surface observations will track hourly maxima through evening for final resolution.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tokyo high temperature of 19°C (55.5% implied probability), closely followed by 20°C (37.5%), driven by the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) evening forecast from March 29 projecting exactly 19°C amid cloudy skies turning partly cloudy later, with 20% morning precipitation chance dropping to 10% afternoon. This reflects a mild southerly airflow pattern continuing from March 29's observed 21°C peak, warmer than the late-March climatological average of 14–15°C, boosted by high-pressure ridging. Model consensus shows tight uncertainty around peak afternoon heating, with cloud cover potentially capping intensity below 21°C (8.3%). JMA surface observations will track hourly maxima through evening for final resolution.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 20°C » à 88%, suivi de « 21°C » à 16%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 88¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 88% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30? » a généré $106K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 29, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30? » est « 20°C » à 88%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 88% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 21°C » à 16%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Tokyo on March 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.